COVID case fatality rate (CFR) increased by 50% after they rolled out the jabs in Santa Clara County in 2021
I've asked the Santa Clara County health department to explain why we shouldn't be concerned. I will update this article when I hear back.
Executive Summary
Santa Clara County has an excellent open data portal with lots of COVID data posted.
This morning I decided to take a deep dive and I downloaded the long term care facility (LTCF) cases and deaths.
I discovered that after the COVID vaccine rollout began, the COVID case fatality rate increased by 50%. The result was statistically significant.
I asked Ben at US Mortality to double check my work. His results are posted below.
The shots were supposed to make the elderly less likely to die from COVID, not more likely to die from COVID.
Furthermore, the age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) in Santa Clara County didn’t return to normal after the mask mandates, lockdowns, and a stunning 95% vaccination rate in the County. As Ben noted, the ASMR increased in 2021 vs. the 2020 baseline, and 2022 was only slightly lower.
I’ve reached out to media relations at the public health department (PHD) for an explanation as to why we shouldn’t be concerned about these numbers. I will update this article with their response when I hear back.
The data so you can replicate my work
My work is all posted on my Github in the covid repo. The README explains the details.
You can download the public health data for long term care facilities (LTCF) cases and deaths.
In calculating the CFR, we shifted the deaths forward by 11 days so we aligned case peaks to death peaks.
On a quarterly basis, the CFR averaged 11.7% in Q4 2020, then jumped to 21% in Q1 of 2021 which is a 1.8X increase.
On a monthly basis, the CFR averaged 12.8% in December 2020; in January 2021 it was 18.9%, a 48% increase.
The Dec20-Jan21 month-over-month increase was highly statistically significant:
Statistics for SCC public health LTCF = 2246 723 330 168 3467
One-sided p-value 9.32001809144462e-06
Max likelihood estimate of the Odds ratio= 1.5812658374393986
Traditional OR= 1.581491261159311
95% Confidence Interval(low=1.2813010293488671, high=1.9468079768650681)
Ben at US Mortality posted this analysis
You can see his code and the graphs here. I’ve reproduced the final graph below.
See how the CFR (blue line) which was flat before the vaccine rollout starts climbing up after the dashed vertical line (vaccine rollout)? It’s supposed to be going down, not up!
Questions sent the public health department
Was the PHD aware of this issue in 2021? Were there any reports or analysis done to explain why this isn’t a problem? The data is basically opposite what we were expecting.
Was there any internal discussion about warning the public about it?
The prima facie conclusion is that the COVID vaccine caused the CFR to jump since this is a massive instant shift and there were no policy changes. If this isn’t the correct explanation, what is the correct explanation and how can the PHD be so confident that it was NOT caused by the vaccine?
My hypothesis: the COVID vax made the CFR worse.
Here’s my reasoning:
The US Nursing home data showed that the CFR increased after the COVID shots rolled out. See this article for details and graphs. The CFR graph in this article is even more stunning.
The full US data (from OWID) showed the CFR increased after the shots rolled out. See this article for details and the CFR graph.
An analysis of the UK data nursing home data recently published in the peer-reviewed literature showed that there might be a tiny benefit (they had to use AI to find it and it was present in just 2 of the 3 indicators so it’s not certain if it was a real signal), but for boosters the effect turned harmful after just 3 weeks.
We have a plausible mechanism of action: the vaccine suppresses your immune system.
The verified anecdotes we have would simply be impossible to explain if the COVID vaccine isn’t killing people. Please read this article about the stunning stats at Apple Valley Village.
I have been unable to find a single success anecdote. None of the nursing homes I contacted returned my calls and my requests on X for a success story have all met with silence (or personal attacks for asking the question).
Other assumptions yield similar results
The correlation coefficient between cases and deaths for time shifts are as follows:
The peak is at 14 days. If you do the calculation of Dec vs. Jan you get an OR=.75 (meaning the IFR was lower in December by 25% which shouldn’t happen) and a p value of .0098 which means this was unlikely to just happen by chance. December CFR is 13.04%. For January 2021, the CFR is 16.61%.
What do you think caused the increase in CFR in Santa Clara County after the COVID shots rolled out?
It wasn’t the COVID variant because the original strain was dominant for most all of the observation period.
Summary
I’ve reached out to the SCC PHD for comment.
I look forward to hearing their response and will update this article when I hear back.
Hi
I only mean, when saying "common flu", its average (low) mortality, as it officially given (so not e.g "the Spanish flu"). About Covid-19 -it could give itself very few excess deaths, a vast majority of deaths attributed to Covid-19 has been wrongly attributed to it (in the U.S. and in the U.K. clearly over 90%). It is physically impossible that any death-accelerator provoking QUICK premature deaths could form a group of decedents with the not visibly increased (age-adjusted) average number of chronic conditions ...unless with a close to 100% mortality. If "official Covid-19" deaths were true Covid-19 deaths the number would be more than doubled for an average age of victims as high as of around 75 years. ...The second method ('the Shortened Supplement') is smarter and shorter. Kind regards
Steve, could you take a break from death statistics and do this:. Take videos of Dr Bhakdi repeating "the mechanism o harm of mRNA is auto immune attack by killer T lymphocytes". And then take every single comment of everybody who is claiming they like Dr bhakdi, and see how 100% of all of them never repeat this. For years.
Then compare it to thousands of my videos where I have repeated "mRNA kills by auto immune attack by killer t lymphocytes". And observe how there too, 100% of people refuse to reply that.
So, given that I have repeated the most important medical fact on earth, about 800,000 times over 5 years. Then compare it to Dr bhakdi , who had to repay it probably 1000 times. So we are doing normal science and repeating important facts.
Then compare it to EVERYBODY ELSE ON THE PLANET who between everyone. Every doctor, expert, truthseeker and journalist. Who collectively have all repeated that golden fact about 6 TIMES between them all.
And run a statistical analysis , and prove that everybody is "retarded" from repeating the most important scientific answer in human history, but I'm not.
So technically I've done better science to save everybody , than ever other do or and expert on the planet combined, about 100 times over.
And I think you will find I have diagnosed the problem.
Everyone's brains have melted.
And something evil is controling everybodies ability to agree on the most important obvious facts.
Thanks Steve.
Also read all my articles on sybstack for details of how the whole planet can't do basic immunology, and that's why all the suffering confusion and death.
Planet saved.
Then let's do an interview about it. And get rich!!!