Update
Survey result links are posted in this article.
Executive summary
The preliminary results of the sudden-onset autism study are summarized below. They are stunning.
I reached out the Chief Science Officer of the Autism Science Foundation to share the results, but at the recent IACC meeting, she turned off her camera as soon shortly after I joined the green room and started speaking, and then she ignored all my emails sent during and after the meeting offering to share the data with her. This tells you that “they” know damn well this is a mass gaslighting campaign.
Mainstream AI will claim the results are survey bias.
Survey bias is a credible hand-waving explanation because the people promoting the survey have critical thinking skills intact and tend to attract other critical thinkers. So this could be a possible explanation.
Fortunately, this isn’t our only data source.
We have dispositive data showing this simply isn’t the case and that the AI is just gaslighting us. Specifically,
We have the actual medical records from a large US pediatric clinic with over 6,000 unvaccinated kids over the last 25 years. ZERO AUTISM in the practice only for the unvaccinated kids (which is most of the kids). These are the counts of kids tracked from birth to over 4 years old. Yet every surrounding clinic has autism rates of 1 in 20. The kids share the same environment, the same food, the same air, water. The big difference: vaccination.
US Vaccine Court admits vaccines can cause autism
This is the case of Hannah Polling. They spent 5 years doing the investigation. It doesn’t get more thorough than that!
“In 2002, Hannah’s parents filed an autism claim in federal vaccine court. Five years later, the government admitted vaccines caused her autism.”
And the US government’s own expert witness Dr. Andrew Zimmerman admitted it to the lawyers so the DOJ fired him, then used his earlier testimony (which he recanted) to sideline future autism claims.
The Amish are the best real-world stunning example. The ONLY difference between Amish kids w/autism and Amish kids w/o autism is whether or not they were vaccinated. Let that sink in.
The Amish are the single best natural experiment for vaccines and autism.
Over the past 330 years, nobody has been able to identify a single Amish unvaccinated kid with autism. If there is such a child, the child doesn’t seem to have a name.
President Trump, 17 days later, picked it up and retweeted the image I created (with the help of AI):
330 years later, no exceptions. Not a single autistic unvaccinated Amish child.
If there was such a child, the Amish would know that such a child existed and they world all know the name of the child. The Amish are a tight knit community. Everyone knows everyone.
The scientific community hates this. They absolutely hate it. Because the ONLY difference in the Amish kids with autism vs. w/o autism is their VACCINATION status. Everything else is the same. It’s the perfect “real-world 330 year randomized trial.”
Think about it. The Amish kids with autism:
have the same genes,
have the same environmental exposures,
eat the food
breathe the same air
drink the same water
as the Amish kids without autism.
The Amish kids that did get autism only had ONE difference from the Amish kids who didn't get autism: whether they got vaccinated or not.
If there is another difference, nobody has discovered it.
From a doctor in an Amish county in the US
No autism in nearly 30 years of his medical practice
They thought they had finally found an unvaccinated Amish child with autism, but no luck. Watch this entire 90 second video
Watch especially 45 seconds into the video.
No winners of my offer
Not a single name.
Even more data
From Jenna McCarthy’s substack article New York Declares War on the Amish couldn’t find an unvaccinated Amish child with autism either. Zero.
The late Dr. Mayer Eisenstein, whose Chicago-area practice cared for over 30,000 children—thousands of them never vaccinated—stated plainly: “I don't think we have a single case of autism in children delivered by us who never received vaccines.”
Dr. Paul Thomas, whose Oregon clinic oversees more than 15,000 patients, reports zero new autism cases among 1,176 children who followed his delayed vaccination protocol (see the last sentence in the image below):
Among the Amish of Middlefield, Ohio, Dr. Heng Wang—medical director of the DDC Clinic for Special Needs Children, which treats all special-needs children in that community—found a rate of 1 in 15,000 [not a typo], compared to 1 in 166 nationally at the time. The one autistic child he identified had, you will not be shocked to learn, received routine immunizations.
That same UPI article also noted:
-- A Lancaster doctor who has treated thousands of Amish for nearly a quarter-century said he had never seen any autism. "We're right in the heart of Amish country and seeing none -- and that's just the way it is," that doctor said last month.
Additional vaccines are associated with making autism much worse
Too many anecdotes where family reports giving additional vaccines to autistic children and the child gets dramatically worse. This would be the definitive study to run but no parent would enroll their child in the study for some reason.
Look what happened to Jeremy after he received the Tdap shot in August 2005:
Within days of that shot, everything changed.
Not gradually. Not subtly.
Immediately.
Jeremy’s behavior didn’t just get worse—it escalated to a level we had never seen before. The aggression that had once been directed mostly toward himself started turning outward. He became dangerous not just to himself, but to the people around him.
And then something else happened.
For the first time in his life, Jeremy began having seizures.
Grand Mal seizures.
They came weekly. Sometimes multiple times in a single day.
This wasn’t a small shift. This wasn’t part of a slow progression.
This was a line in the sand.
My mother went back to the doctor, demanding answers.
And this is the moment everything changed.
The doctor told her:
“There ‘may’ have been traces of mercury and thimerosal in the vaccine. There is no regulation of how much is in a trace. And I am convinced Jeremy got a full dose of thimerosal.”
Heavy metal toxicity
Autism cases often have something in common: heavy metal toxicity. See Chris Exley’s brain aluminum study and read this post.
My testimony in the Pennsylvania Senate after I visited Amish country
The “fact checkers” claim I’m wrong, but none of them have ever produced the name of the unvaccinated Amish child with autism.
Click the link to see the video.
It’s the same SEQUENCE of events. If autism wasn’t caused by vaccines, the sequence would vary. It doesn’t.
It’s the same stories in the data we collected. This post below is from a physician.
But the key is the sequence. If autism was not caused by vaccine, the regression would be in a random place in the sequence. It’s not. That is the smoking gun that “science” can’t explain.
Not all autism is caused by vaccines
Also, references to autism pre-vaccines is not proof vaccines don’t cause autism. It is proof that not all autism is caused by vaccines. Only around 80% of autism onsets (and probably more) are caused by vaccines.
Please take 5 seconds and retweet this now
Most importantly, PLEASE take 5 seconds and click on this tweet below and hit the re-post button to spread the survey. This is really important. There are only 140 retweets and if everyone retweets it, we can spread it to 80,000 retweets and reach a much bigger audience.
Just click the image and click the retweet button in the lower left. Thanks!
Survey expectations under null hypothesis
We expect the same results for kids who were vaccinated vs. kids who are completely unvaccinated:
All years should have around the same number of reports. In particular, there shouldn’t be a dip in reports in 2020 because even though there were fewer vaccinations, the survey asks about PARENT observations.
Weekday vs weekend reports should be in proportion 5 / 2
Day of week should be evenly spread although there maybe higher number on weekends because parents would be spending more time with their kids
Age at onset will have a single peak month with the most reports. There shouldn’t be relative peaks at 6,12, 15, 18, 24, and 48 months
The age at onset peak will be relatively broad: no more than a 20% drop from the peak months on both sides
Age at onset should be symmetrical in both directions from the peak onset age
The time distribution in the 0 to 5 day window post last regular wellness visit should be approximately 1/9 of the distribution of day 6 to 60
On the day of the appointment, the number of onsets before the shot should be about half the number of onset after the shot (simply because the shots are given from 9am - 5pm).
Survey results
The survey showed we’ve been lied to. The primary trigger of autism is vaccination. No doubt about it.
30% of onsets on the same day as vaccination
40% of onsets within 2 days of vaccination
Onset age peaks at 18 month aligning with CDC vaccination schedule
Onsets are least likely to happen on Sunday.
Look at how onset counts ALIGN with the CDC schedule. The lack of cases between 24 and 48 month peaks is the smoking gun. That isn’t natural. It’s aligned with the CDC vaccination schedule. Nature doesn’t provide case spikes that coincide with the CDC schedule. No way.
AI analysis
AlterAI analysis
Includes the reaction to Claude claiming “nothing to see here.”
This data is a great example of taking the identical dataset to two experts and getting two completely different answers. There can only be one truth here.
We can pre-specify the test
Here is the pre-specified test: Under the null, number of onsets on day 6 to 60 should be 9x the number from 0 to 5.
It turns out the actual data shows 0 to 5 day onsets are around 2x the 6 to 60 onset count which is mind-blowing. It’s a huge signal. It’s an 18X inversion with a p-value < 1e-100. See calculation.
Q: Does anyone have any data showing parent recall has an 18x bias?
A: No! The very best example Grok could find is the Andrews paper which showed no statistically significant bias in parent recall (not affected by MMR publicity).But the paper is behind a paywall, so most people just trust the abstract which is misleading. The CI’s tell the whole story.
What the Andrews study Actually Found
The paper compared two cohorts:
1998 study (pre-publicity): parents of kids diagnosed before the MMR-autism controversy hit the news
2000 study (post-publicity): parents of kids diagnosed after the media storm
The key finding, in Andrews’ own words: “the differences compared with the 1998 study were not significant.”
Let that land. The entire Andrews paper is built to argue that recall bias explains away the MMR-autism temporal association, and the headline finding is that the pre-post difference didn’t reach statistical significance. The paper’s conclusion is essentially: “We didn’t find significant evidence of recall bias, but trust us, it’s probably there.”
Grok never tells you that.
The AI’s basically are designed to keep gaslighting you into believing fairy tales.
Also, under the null, the number of onsets in 2020 should be comparable to the number of onsets in 2019 and 2021.
How the experts “explain” the results
When I ask autism “experts” to explain this, they either ignore me or claim the survey is biased. Of course it is biased! All surveys are biased.
But these scientists NEVER OFFER to run the survey against their followers. Every single one refused. They don’t want to know. That’s the confirmation.
If we were wrong, the “experts” would eagerly embrace the opportunity to prove we are wrong using our own survey against us similar to how Marcus Zervos was so excited to run the definitive study to show vaccinated kids are healthier. We all know how well that worked out, don’t we?
But none want to do that.
Scientists are supposed to seek truth, not run and hide under a rock like Autism Science Foundation Alycia Halladay did when I tried to share the survey results with her.
The smoking gun question that they cannot answer that demonstrates that autism is not random; it is causal. There is simply no alternate explanation for the asymmetry.
I can easily name dozens of kids who became suddenly autistic on the day of their shot, after the shot was given. They are extremely frequent in the survey results.
But nobody can name a kid who became suddenly autistic on the day of their shot, before the shot was given. These are completely absent from the survey results.
If autism was random, the numbers should be roughly comparable (within a factor of 2 to 3 because there are fewer waking hours before the shot vs. after the shot).
So the inability for the “pro vaccine” folks to name one child when I can easily name dozens is the smoking gun and it has nothing to do with survey bias.
There is no explanation other than causality
Existing scientific research supports my position
Read this excellent article on how vaccine-autism connection studies are designed to show no association.
My 3 minute IACC speech
I want to talk to you today about the elephant in the room: the biggest and most destructive gaslighting campaign in human history: the claim that vaccines don’t cause autism.
My name is Steve Kirsch and I’m a data scientist in California.
I’m currently involved in a research study focused exclusively on sudden-onset autism cases where children were developing normally until an ONSET date which is when the PARENTS first noted a DRAMATIC and LASTING behavior change had occurred.
I’d like to share with you the preliminary results which indicate that autism onset is man-made, not naturally occurring.
The method used was a parent survey that was publicly distributed by a diverse group of individuals and organizations that asked open-ended and specific questions, and asked parents to quantify both their certainty AND ability to produce contemporaneous documentation.
We found three things:
the age at autism onset noted by parents PEAKS at 18 months and then drops by a factor of 12 at month 19. -- pause-- This is not natural; it aligns precisely with the man-made CDC vaccination schedule.
30% of the onsets happened within 1 day of vaccination and 40% within 2 days of vaccination. That is not random chance. That is a hallmark of causality.
The day of the week mattered; Sunday was 50% lower than weekdays. Genes don’t take weekends off. But pediatricians do.
The McDowell triplets are a stunning example of this effect: the only time in human history where perfectly normal triplets became severely and irreversibly autistic within hours of each other and it started just 2 hours after vaccination. Nobody can explain why that happened even though it’s obvious to anyone who hears the story.
Genes may load the gun, but vaccines pull the trigger. And if nobody pulls the trigger, nobody gets shot.
Why aren’t doctors speaking out? Consider the case of California Pediatrician Doug Hulstedt. In 23 years, he had 47 cases of sudden onset autism happening 2 weeks AFTER vaccination but ZERO in the 2 weeks before a scheduled vaccine appointment. The medical board of California revoked his license because Hulstedt wrote ONE vaccine medical exemption.
And there is ONE pediatric practice operating in the US that doesn’t vaccinate kids. Not a single case of autism since inception, 25 years ago. Over 6,526 unvaccinated kids. 0 autism. In adjacent clinics that follow the CDC schedule, the rates of autism are 1 in 15 kids. But they can’t go public with their data, because their medical licenses would be revoked for not following the CDC guidelines on vaccination.
I urge the panel to set as a TOP priority to INDEPENDENTLY replicate these results. The questions are simple and the data collection can be completed in less than a day.
This is the single most important thing you can and should do. Collect and PUBLICLY release the data for all to see.
Summary
This survey will soon be run against a neutral list.
Then it will be all over and there will be no place to hide.
This will be the biggest upset in scientific history because for decades parents were gaslit by pediatricians who assured them that “vaccines don’t cause autism.” It was a big lie that has irreparably damaged millions of kids.
And it is so preventable because every peer-reviewed study comparing fully vaccinated and fully unvaccinated shows that the fully unvaccinated are healthier. And if you did a survey on families where some kids are fully vaccinated and other kids are fully unvaccinated, you will find that in 20 out of 21 families the unvaccinated kids are far healthier.
Please take 5 seconds to retweet that post at the top of the article. Thanks!