People who run from debate challenges aren't scientists
I had a nice 1 hour chat with William M. Briggs, a well known statistician. He did not find a safety signal for the elderly in the New Zealand data. His approach was fine, but he missed the signal.
In part I, we talked about whether scientists should only settle differences of opinion in writing or in the peer reviewed literature. Briggs says there is absolutely nothing wrong with real-time dialog, saying our conversation was a perfect example. We also debunked each of the 5 critiques raised by Dr. Jonathan Laxton in this tweet:
In part II, we talked through whether Briggs critiqued my analysis (he admitted he never looked at it) and his triangle plot analysis technique.
In part III (not yet filmed), we’ll go into more detail and I’ll show why Briggs’ was not failed to spot the safety signal that is absolutely there.
Here are the links for the first 2 videos:
Real scientists don’t run from debate challenges.
Laxton’s attempts to debunk my analysis fall flat.
Brigg’s triangle plots are an innovative way to visualize the death data, but whether this is strong evidence that the vaccines are safe or unsafe will be a topic of part III
Spoiler alert: you can see the safety problems in the triangle plots if you age-stratify them, which Briggs never did.
I offered to take down the data if HNZ showed me an analysis showing the published data shows the vaccines are safe. They did not reply.
The triangle plots make it too hard to see the problem. Instead, plot the raw data in deaths since a vaccine dose. The slope is supposed to go down. In all 5 countries that we have data on, it goes up. Nobody can explain that.
No recognized epidemiologist (including from HNZ) has published a detailed analysis of the HNZ data showing no excess deaths were caused by the vaccine (or even attempting to quantify the level)
I held a space on X open to all comers who wanted to shoot down my analysis. No one pointed out any errors in the data, the analysis methodology, the tools, or the conclusions except Drew Comments who said it was impossible for the vaccines to kill anyone. Many others related person experiences that were statistically impossible if the vaccines were safe.