How accurate are X polls? Let's find out!
I ran a poll on X and Gab four months apart, with totally different followers, and the results agreed within less than 1%. Stunning. Did I get lucky? Let's find out!
I ran this poll in June on Gab:
I ran this poll on X today and snapshotted it to include in the article:
Let’s compute the difference between the polls:
(65/22)/(23.1/7.8) =.9976
So these polls are within 1% of each other. Pretty stunning isn’t it?
Can you do me a favor?
If you have:
A lot of followers
Have a relatively neutral following (i.e., “normal people”)
Can you post your own poll to X or Gab or <your choice> and let’s see if there is any significant variation? Post your results in the comments (the ratio and the number of votes). The number to post is the (Vaccine percentage) / (COVID percentage) and I’m expecting it will be around 3, but let’s see what we get.
Thanks!
My expectations
When you survey blue-pilled people, they think the vaccine hasn’t killed anyone, so my expectation is that the ratio will be less than 3 when surveying the masses. Let’s see what we get.
Summary
It looks like the vaccine has killed more people than the virus has. So I’d recommend you avoid it for now. I’ll let you know if anything changes.
Also, there must be a reason that nobody on their side is running a poll like this, but for the life of me, I just can’t figure it out ;) Help me show them it’s not just my followers that are seeing this.
"If you have:
1. A lot of followers
2. Have a relatively neutral following (i.e., “normal people”)"
I kind of had to laugh, because not only would have a paltry following if I bothered with social media, but my relatively small coterie of real-life friends are wildly abnormal (in the strict statistical sense). How do I know this? Because like me, they believe people like you, and are therefore widely banned, shunned, or given the hairy eyeball in most places if we're honest with regular folxes and theys.
I also have a few friends that are abnormal because they were jabbed and have brain fog all the damned time, living life almost as if permanently hung over and unfocused and irritable. This symptom or symptom-group is definitely "a thing."
Also, ask this of the followers:
How do you form your conclusions about Covid, Covid treatments, and the vaccines?
1. Follow the 'experts' on TV
2. Whatever the authorities say is correct
3. Do my own research, including seeking alternate points of view
4. Use logic, reason, and risk-benefit thinking
5. Both #3 and #4
6. Whatever my doctor says
EDIT: My eyes have been opened thanks to Substacks like this, and I have basically become an anti-vaxxer, pending my satisfaction vaccines are properly tested in addition to treatment alternatives.