On another question yes (whether any 1 detected virus rates to be anywhere near as impactful as the total of all other non-detected viruses in a human body) - but not on this specific question for 2 reasons:
1) IтАЩve reached no firm conclusion on the answer to this question.
2) Even if SARS-CoV-2 is a new virus as determined by a unique DNA sequence, this may still be only of nominal significance. This is because there is no way to prove that the total of all other non-sequenced (and so, by definition undetected) viruses in the human body arenтАЩt more impactful on human health than any 1 detected virus. For example, it could be that even though Covid treatments have a reliable effect on Covid symptoms and SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results, the nature of Covid could be that itтАЩs caused by a collection of hundreds of viruses in operation simultaneously - which are all similarly squelched by the proposed Covid treatments.
This is also my thinking. If you find any logical responses, please let me know. Even the Sars-Cov-2 PCR test fine print said it was not specific to SARS-CoV-2 and that it should not be used alone as a diagnostic tool.
I just got around to reading your term sheet. I see an Achilles heel: only 3 judges. The problem with that is a completely unresolved question has a whopping 25% chance of winner payout. For illustration, suppose at the beginning of the debate, person P in attendance flipped a coin and hid the result, and the debate question was тАЬDid P flip heads or tails?тАЭ You can see that if 3 judges are each required to render their own definitive judgments on this event, there is a 25% chance that they would agree unanimously on what was always an even proposition. If you increase the judges to 6, youтАЩll reduce the probability of an even proposition being decided as a win down to 3.1%.
Also, what is your definition of тАЬCovidтАЭ for purpose of these bets? Originally, Covid was generally defined by public health authorities as being indicative of severe respiratory distress. But the goalposts have moved so far that now common cold symptoms - or even just a positive PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 - is routinely referred to as Covid.
there is.
would you like to accept my bet?
Because they're deluded fools and they know you'd mop the floor with them.
see my pinned comment. waiting for your answers here. thanks!
Go troll in your 'no virus' Substacks with your $1,015 New Age shower heads and $1,000 New Age peat moss blankets you fool.
On another question yes (whether any 1 detected virus rates to be anywhere near as impactful as the total of all other non-detected viruses in a human body) - but not on this specific question for 2 reasons:
1) IтАЩve reached no firm conclusion on the answer to this question.
2) Even if SARS-CoV-2 is a new virus as determined by a unique DNA sequence, this may still be only of nominal significance. This is because there is no way to prove that the total of all other non-sequenced (and so, by definition undetected) viruses in the human body arenтАЩt more impactful on human health than any 1 detected virus. For example, it could be that even though Covid treatments have a reliable effect on Covid symptoms and SARS-CoV-2 PCR test results, the nature of Covid could be that itтАЩs caused by a collection of hundreds of viruses in operation simultaneously - which are all similarly squelched by the proposed Covid treatments.
This is also my thinking. If you find any logical responses, please let me know. Even the Sars-Cov-2 PCR test fine print said it was not specific to SARS-CoV-2 and that it should not be used alone as a diagnostic tool.
did you want to accept my bet?
Steve,
I just got around to reading your term sheet. I see an Achilles heel: only 3 judges. The problem with that is a completely unresolved question has a whopping 25% chance of winner payout. For illustration, suppose at the beginning of the debate, person P in attendance flipped a coin and hid the result, and the debate question was тАЬDid P flip heads or tails?тАЭ You can see that if 3 judges are each required to render their own definitive judgments on this event, there is a 25% chance that they would agree unanimously on what was always an even proposition. If you increase the judges to 6, youтАЩll reduce the probability of an even proposition being decided as a win down to 3.1%.
Also, what is your definition of тАЬCovidтАЭ for purpose of these bets? Originally, Covid was generally defined by public health authorities as being indicative of severe respiratory distress. But the goalposts have moved so far that now common cold symptoms - or even just a positive PCR test for SARS-CoV-2 - is routinely referred to as Covid.
Of course they won't. They all cowards and science flunkies who prefer to anonymously troll away with their New Age bullshit.