Bulgaria has had the highest excess mortality out of all of Europe. I am not sure that is a good example to support your assumption. A temporary drop below average for a month isn't something to celebrate after the catastrophic loss of life within such a short period of time.
Long COVID may mean a shorter life but most aren't dying. It…
Bulgaria has had the highest excess mortality out of all of Europe. I am not sure that is a good example to support your assumption. A temporary drop below average for a month isn't something to celebrate after the catastrophic loss of life within such a short period of time.
Long COVID may mean a shorter life but most aren't dying. Its the heart attacks and strokes that are going uncounted as COVID deaths and killing working age adults.
"We estimate that each excess death in Bulgaria resulted in 11.70, 12.70, and 10.43 years of life lost overall, for males, and for females, respectively"
Contrary to your assumptions, it isn't only the old and weakest dying but the largest amount of excess deaths is coming from the working age, 40 to 65 year olds, just like in the U.K. and the U.S.
"We compared working-age excess mortality across European countries. Bulgaria stands out in this analysis, exhibiting standardized WYLL values far in excess of those in the other countries included in the comparison (≥70% higher than the next ranked country, Romania). As in the comparison of overall excess mortality, countries in Eastern Europe exhibit considerably higher working-age excess mortality than those in Western Europe, which is concentrated in the second year of the pandemic."
"The average working years of life lost per excess death are 8.26 for Bulgaria as a whole and 8.18 and 8.87 for females and males, respectively."
The only time it went below was in June 5th to July 27th, and then started declining below baseline from November 13th to November 27th before starting to increase again into Dec 4th, the last date available. That is not all of 2022. 2022 was not as bad as 2021 but a lot of people died in 2020 and 2021 so it would make sense for 2022 to show less excess deaths. Despite that, there were only those 2 periods that dropped below baseline. We will still have to see how much heart attacks and strokes increased in the 30 to 60 yr old's in 2022.
"COVID-19 vaccination rates in Eastern Europe have been consistently lower than those in Western Europe (for example, only 11.5% of the population in Bulgaria had received two vaccine doses by 1 July 2021, and this number only increased to 29.6% by the end of March 2022 [24]), meaning that the Alpha wave and especially the Delta wave encountered a much larger proportion of completely immunologically naive individuals in populations in Eastern Europe than in Western Europe, resulting in the observed disproportionally higher mortality in the former. Indeed, we find a strong inverse correlation between vaccination rates and excess mortality, in particular in 2021"
Bulgaria has had the highest excess mortality out of all of Europe. I am not sure that is a good example to support your assumption. A temporary drop below average for a month isn't something to celebrate after the catastrophic loss of life within such a short period of time.
Long COVID may mean a shorter life but most aren't dying. Its the heart attacks and strokes that are going uncounted as COVID deaths and killing working age adults.
"We estimate that each excess death in Bulgaria resulted in 11.70, 12.70, and 10.43 years of life lost overall, for males, and for females, respectively"
Contrary to your assumptions, it isn't only the old and weakest dying but the largest amount of excess deaths is coming from the working age, 40 to 65 year olds, just like in the U.K. and the U.S.
"We compared working-age excess mortality across European countries. Bulgaria stands out in this analysis, exhibiting standardized WYLL values far in excess of those in the other countries included in the comparison (≥70% higher than the next ranked country, Romania). As in the comparison of overall excess mortality, countries in Eastern Europe exhibit considerably higher working-age excess mortality than those in Western Europe, which is concentrated in the second year of the pandemic."
"The average working years of life lost per excess death are 8.26 for Bulgaria as a whole and 8.18 and 8.87 for females and males, respectively."
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/10/11/1901
It’s not just a 1 month drop. Bulgaria had low all cause mortality throughout 2022 and into 2023.
The only time it went below was in June 5th to July 27th, and then started declining below baseline from November 13th to November 27th before starting to increase again into Dec 4th, the last date available. That is not all of 2022. 2022 was not as bad as 2021 but a lot of people died in 2020 and 2021 so it would make sense for 2022 to show less excess deaths. Despite that, there were only those 2 periods that dropped below baseline. We will still have to see how much heart attacks and strokes increased in the 30 to 60 yr old's in 2022.
"COVID-19 vaccination rates in Eastern Europe have been consistently lower than those in Western Europe (for example, only 11.5% of the population in Bulgaria had received two vaccine doses by 1 July 2021, and this number only increased to 29.6% by the end of March 2022 [24]), meaning that the Alpha wave and especially the Delta wave encountered a much larger proportion of completely immunologically naive individuals in populations in Eastern Europe than in Western Europe, resulting in the observed disproportionally higher mortality in the former. Indeed, we find a strong inverse correlation between vaccination rates and excess mortality, in particular in 2021"
https://www.mdpi.com/2076-393X/10/11/1901