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there is clear data from the british office of national statistics https://www.ons.gov.uk/

they break total death numbers for 2021 by vaccination status

non vaccinated die half as much as vaccinated

there is no need for correlation there, you can see the causation directly

open the table here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/datasets/deathsbyvaccinationstatusengland

look at table 3:

All causes Unvaccinated Count of deaths: 103234 Person-years 14625337

All causes Ever vaccinated Count of deaths: 392066 Person-years :27839476

Person years is equivalent to all the time all people in that group spent at being vaccinated or unvaccinated

a simple math would show unvaccinated rate of death : 103234/14625337 = 0.007058572

vaccinated rate of death 392066/27839476 = 0.014083096

rate of death from all causes to the vaccinated is double that of the unvaccinated.

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Interesting and helpful!

I noted these data you present diverge from the UK reported data in Table 3 for "Age-standardised mortality rate / 100,000 person-years" which show 2438.3 for unvaccinated and 940.2 for ever vaccinated. Any idea what the factors are in their reported figure?

Seems strange to have such a divergence between what you calculate... which seem logical, and their figures, which consistently show much higher risks for unvaccinated nonetheless.

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I would not pretend to know the thoughts behind this report or any other.

one explanation might be - the mortality rate for ALL ages does not take into account the age of the person, if you add all the young people under 5 that were not vaccinated and take into account that children rarely die then the results would be different.

another clear option is - that the data was manipulated.

I tried to do sum up of years and death at table 6 for 10-14 age group and it looks like the unvaccinated had considerably more death - but not from covid. it is as if, magically, vaccinated kids would not die of car accidents any more :)

Either I am reading this thing completely wrong, or the data is wrong, or the data have been manipulated.

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In reading more... it appears they are using an AGE-YEARS figure to "adjust" the figures. All the tables have this adjustment... I didn't read all the details.

I'm hoping to find some correlation to success rates vs. vaccination rates of the population - basically reducing the impacts of the unvaxxed being only 27% and vaxxed being about 73%. Thanks!

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the problem is more complex as a person can be unvaxxed for three months of the year, after one shot, then 2 then three for the second half of the year.

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