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Commentary on study:

OpenSAFELY: Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination in children and adolescents, The OpenSAFELY Collaborative, William J Hulme medRxiv 2024.05.20.24306810; doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2024.05.20.24306810. Link to preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.05.20.24306810v1

This is an observational study (not an RCT) meaning they are looking through the database of the National Health Service of England (each part of the UK has their own health service) and compiling records of hospital visits, emergency room visits, critical care (ICU) admissions and deaths. There are two main study groups, children (aged 5-11) and adolescents (aged 12-15) including several hundred thousand minors total.

The results are interesting, but very much in line with what one would expect based on other data on COVID-19. The study authors have calculated that the vaccinated adolescents (12-15) had a slightly less incidence of visits to Accident & Emergency (A&E) but there were very few visits total. For children (5-11) there were so few COVID-19 related events that they couldn't draw any conclusions at all. For adolescents there were only 72 visits to A&E, 90 hospital admissions, 3 ICY admissions and no deaths - so not a lot of events total. For the younger children there were no A&E admissions, 6 hospitalizations and no deaths. Since this is an observational study the authors also mention that confounding factors may have impacted the results (for example, parents who get their kids vaccinated also take other health measures). In the end there are so few events listed in the health system database that one wonders what they're all so worked up about.

The only cases of myocarditis/pericarditis occurred in the vaccinated group, with incident rates of 27 per million for the first dose and 10 per million for the second dose. The myocarditis/pericarditis numbers are similar to what the CDC has been claiming, which is 30-40 cases per million vaccinated children. The Director of the CDC posted the following on Twitter:

“To put this into perspective, if we vaccinate 1 million 12-17 year olds, we could see 30-40 MILD cases of myocarditis. In this same 1 million, through vaccination we AVOID: 8,000 cases of COVID-19, 200 hospitalizations, 50 ICU stays & 1 death. The benefits far outweigh the risks.” (Twitter post by Dr. Rochelle Walensky, https://archive.ph/kejp7)

The CDC Director is, of course, completely wrong about the risk/benefit analysis. The biggest takeaway from the England study is the lack of COVID-19 risk in children. Whether someone thinks the vaccine works or not isn't really relevant if children don't get COVID-19, or don't suffer any significant symptoms when they do.

The original clinical trial for the vaccine used in the trial (BNT162b2, from Pfizer) showed no difference in all cause mortality between the vaccine group and the control group:

Thomas et al.; C4591001 Clinical Trial Group. Safety and Efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine through 6 Months. N Engl J Med. 2021 Nov 4;385(19):1761-1773. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2110345. Epub 2021 Sep 15. PMID: 34525277; PMCID: PMC8461570. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34525277/

The other interesting thing about the Pfizer study is there were only 162 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the control group of 21,726 people, for an infection rate of only 0.75%. The study reported the relative risk reduction, which looked great (95%) but didn't mention the absolute risk reduction, which was from 0.75% to 0.04%, so the absolute reduction in risk to the average person would only be 0.71%. This means they need to vaccinate well over 100 people to stop a single infection, and only a tiny fraction of infections lead to death.

Infection fatality rates were reported by Axfors and Ioannidis:

Axfors C, Ioannidis JPA. Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 in community-dwelling elderly populations. Eur J Epidemiol. 2022 Mar;37(3):235-249. doi: 10.1007/s10654-022-00853-w. Epub 2022 Mar 20. PMID: 35306604; PMCID: PMC8934243. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35306604/

For the 0-19 age group, the IFR was only 0.001% (1 in 100,000) and of course not everyone gets an infection so crude mortality rate for children is one in hundreds of thousands or possibly millions. It's not surprising that the England study didn't see any deaths from COVID-19, because children don't die from it.

A previous study from Ioannidis had estimated the IFR for everyone less than 70 years old at 0.05%.

Ioannidis JPA. Infection fatality rate of COVID-19 inferred from seroprevalence data. Bull World Health Organ. 2021 Jan 1;99(1):19-33F. doi: 10.2471/BLT.20.265892. Epub 2020 Oct 14. PMID: 33716331; PMCID: PMC7947934. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33716331/

Note that in the quote from the CDC Director the implication is that the fatality rate among children is something like one in a million, and this appears justified based on the IFR estimates from Axfors and Ioannidis (two of the most respected epidemiologists in the world, by the way). So in the end they're vaccinating children for something less deadly than seasonal flu, but using an experimental drug for which the long term effects are completely unknown because this technology has never been used in an FDA approved vaccine before, so we have no long term data to work with. The rate of myocarditis looks very low, but the vaccine itself appears completely unnecessary so this, plus the other unknown risks, makes the use of this drug on children very questionable ethically.

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Good work Steve, give those effers no quarter.

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we need that ROR report. Please include kidney injury from Pfizer vaccine, which almost killed my husband both through loss of a kidney to cancer and kidney failure on the remaining kidney. He also had myocarditis and has remaining blood issues. As a retired doctor, he is horrified both how this has occurred and how it has been covered up.

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As a Flight Surgeon for USN, a Masters in HUman Molecular Genetics, Internal Medicine, I always kept my eyes in disease scan mode. I went down the rabbit hole on MOUSE-SARS-CV-2002 as modified to Bioweapon status in NOvember of 19. I posted EVERYTHING - WHO, WHAT, WHERE, WHEN, HOW - WHY?? ON 05DEC19 ON ZEROHEDGE (my fav, sorry, your #2) and a dozen medical journal web sites.

The next AM when I opened my browser, the attack was instantaneous and complete. Total destruction. I regrouped and had two more computers destroyed before Xmas.

16JAN20 I was in the ER with FULL BLOWN MULTI-GAIN OF FUNCTION COVID. BP "UNREADABLE"/180, A-FIB, BRAIN FOG, GI SHUTDOWN, SHAKING LIKE A VIBRATOR, ETC. MASSIVE WORKUP BY MY COMPATRIOTS FOUND EXACTLY NOTHING. WHEN I TRIED TO TELL THEM ABOUT THE BUG COMING FROM CHINA - THERE WAS DISBELIEF. DILTIAZEM DOES A BEAUTIFUL JOB ON THE ACE2 EFFECTS. SUPPORTIVE CARE. 10 DAYS AND OK.

SAME THING AGAIN IN TEN WEEKS. AND AGAIN TEN WEEKS LATER. AND EVERY TEN WEEKS SINCE. LIKE 27 TIMES NOW.

IT OBVIOUSLY WAS DNA INTERCOLATED BY THE SIMIAN VIRUS 40 TRANSCRIPTION ENHANCER. I AM A PAST NAVY COMBAT RESCUE AIRCREWMAN (BUDS/S '70-2) - ALWAYS IN EXCELLENT HEALTH / FITNESS.

IT SEEMS THERE ISN'T ANYONE IN MY TREATMENT AREA WHO HAS ANY MORE KNOWLEDGE THAN I DO.

ANY CHANCE THERE IS KNOWLEDGE, ANYONE OUT THERE HAS TO HELP - ESPECIALLY BY MY GENETICS COLLEGES.?

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And according to CDC the bug wasn't even in the US until March. That was the first effort to silence me. The second was a directed energy weapon six months later, because I was still blowing the whistle, and am Still, which destroyed my car and nearly me. Car was blown out of a group of five vehicles, and into fir trees 20 feet above the road level, snapping several, total destruction of my JEEP (and they are built for it) and causing five days in ICU. Witnesses just stammered when I crawled out of the wreck. My only words were, "What the F... just happened?" Repeatedly.

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Sounds fake....20 foot up, and you were in it?

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One of the main problems a society faces, esp. the populace, is that it isn't organized per se. It's a collection of individuals working toward individual goals, which includes families or communities, but beyond that, other than unions, the general public is disenfranchised from the goals of big government, which is propped up by high dollar donors, low information voters, and liberals (who should know better, but...). The dispersion of wealth and power across the spectrum of individuals in a republic constitutes it creative power. This creates the opportunities that are only possible because of liberty. Whenever the left is in power as they are now, their goals are essentially subversive and destructive. They don't build things. Rather, they destroy things. Obama was emboldened and quite explicit in his inaugural address when he said, "We are 8 days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America." As a people, we need our government representatives to do just that, represent us. Are they doing that? Are the People at large ready to be ruled by the far left, and hand over their freedom in the name of the woke agenda that prioritizes climate change, immigration, green energy, and social justice, i.e. reparations? Elections are the means by which the American people choose those who represent their values. If election day is undermined as it has been here in the US, the will of the people will be thwarted. Or, it means too many of us have voted for what we get. Fool us once, shame on you; fool us twice, shame on me. Don't be fooled this time around. Vote for Trump and Vance. We don't need Obama 2.0 in a pant suit signing executive orders in the White House.

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There are problems with the original paper.

① Side effect data in Japan is not centrally managed, so data from the PMDA (equivalent to the FDA) is used.

② The data collector is someone from Meiji Seika Pharma (the company that sells Replicon).

③ A Weibull distribution is fitted to the side effect distribution.

Due to ①, the side effect data is much lower than the actual number of side effects.

② There is a conflict of interest in selling Replicon.

③ The Weibull dist. is a distribution function used to estimate the initial failure and wear limit of machines. People ≠ machine. Therefore, medium to long-term side effects in humans are ignored.

Therefore, there is a clear intention to conceal side effects for most of one's life by only estimating those occurring immediately after vaccination and towards the end of life.

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Thank you Steve.

Will we ever get data on the J&J?

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Can’t wait to see this ROR report…

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All that was required in late 2020 and into early 2021 was that People consider that the response was a complete and total failure and that when we didn't BOMB THE CCP FLAT within 2 weeks of the release of the WuFlu that C19 was an inside job and our Givernment really wanted many of US DEAD. So, I believe that not one single critical thinking American participated in the GLOBAL IQ TEST in which People had to choose between EXPERIMENTAL mRNA Bioweapons or take their chances of infection. By the time Bioweapon jabs were deployed, a large percentage of US had already been infected. It simply made ZERO sense to vaccinate even if the JABS were legitimate (of course they weren't legit) they were redundant. I personally have not had as much as a sniffle since March of 2020 although my Long Covid symptoms were No senses of taste or smell for literally 2 years. Once March 2020 passed and NOBODY was talking about LEVELING THE CCP that is was absolutely an INSIDE TRAITOR JOB and that quite literally, NOBODY could be trusted. Today, NOBODY can be trusted except those who consistently speak out against CRIMES AGAINST HUMANITY. Now it's time for WANTED POSTERS WIYH STATED BOUNTIES. It's time to apply for a Bounty Hunter's License to help collect the guilty. If you injected a bioweapon into the bodies of the UNINFORMED, you are guilty. If you helped by Funding, Manufacturing or Distributing mRNA Bioweapons, you are guilty of Crimes Against Humanity. If you helped to COERCE others, you are guilty and should face a Judge and Jury of your VAX INJURED PEERS. #MAGA2MEGA Give me a license and I will gladly help in the effort to hunt you guilty motherfuckers down.

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Please read RFK Jr.'s "The Real Anthony Fauci" and try to decide for yourself the real source of the Coronavirus GOF research.

As a hint, I look at WIV and the Bat-Lady as subcontractors, or at best collaborators.

I trust the CCP's stories more than most other governments; they are very transparent about their plans- world domination, re-annexation of Taiwan, and ownership of the South China Sea. On the other hand, their economic data are difficult to believe or use to guide investment. They may have planted a failure mode with the historic one-child policy.

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I would like very much to get my hands on Mr FAUCI.

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I will never trust the CCP or anyone in US Politics. 72% of Congress are TRAITORS. Visit Congress.gov to see the evidence for yourself. RF Kennedy was a Heroin junkie for 15 years so his lifer democRAT opinion means little to me. I will continue to trust my common sense. So should the rest of US.

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Evidence of election cheating in 2020 was never even heard by one judge. Clearly the judicial system members fear more for their lives by the hands of Corrupt members of Con-gress than they fear being taken over by Foreign Adversaries whom Traitors in The USA have Aided and Abetted via shipping tens of millions of US jobs and opportunities off shore. The 388 Traitors Echoed by Loy Brunson's SCOTUS filing must be REMOVED from office permanently if we are to remain a FREE NATION. Soon it will be time to pick a side. Choose wisely because Conservatives will not be playing well with America's ENEMIES WITHIN. #MAGA2MEGA #DefundTyranny #EndAPECnow #EndFTTAnow #EndUSMCAnow #FreedomIsNotFree

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It is going to take an immense amount of death and suffering before the average person realizes what is happening. The reporting of Steve and other people like him maybe the most important intellectual event in modern history, future societies if there are any will look with amazement at how the population fell for this outrageous scam.

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Very sad indeed.

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@Steve Kirsch - You wrote: "The health authorities should be educating the public on the RORs for the most serious adverse events.

Yet they are silent. Worldwide."

I can explain this phenomena.

It is, of course, the same phenomena Robert Malone wrote about and termed "MASS FORMATION PSYCHOSIS", but Robert could not remotely begin to figure it out, just gave it a fancy name. This might be difficult for you, don't know...

The event we are seeing comes straight out of Isaiah 29:9-16

https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=isaiah%2029%3A9-16&version=NKJV

And Paul quotes from Isaiah 29, in 2 Thessalonians 2 citing "11 And for this reason God will send them strong delusion, that they should believe the lie"

https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=2%20thess%202%3A10-11&version=NKJV

And of course at the same time, something called "Israel" is fighting all her enemies she created, just like the prophecies state, in the Middle East with the lovely future prospect of drawing in the various superpowers for a total world blood bath.

I find is absolutely astounding, despite the Mount Everest of EVIDENCE, from all sorts of scientists/MDs/labs, and even more particularly stunning is the data evidence - that virtually all government leaders in the world are under the same, exact spell and they do not seem able to get out of it. And moreover it appears 75%+ of all people are under the same spell.

I'm flabbergasted and astonished, but it is what it is.

Its like watching that caterpillar turn into a chrysalis bag of juice, then into a butterfly. Not supposed to happen, but it does.

If I thought any political leader could have broke free of the delusion, it would have been Ron DeSantis with his AG, after Joe Sansone's filing, and after Joseph Ladapo's statements. It was stunning to watch DeSantis cave, like a henchman/minion.

RFKjr could make a difference, via Trump, on these JAB and health/food issues. Of course my concern is the deception continues but only takes on a different persona... If you read those 2 bible chapters, you will see the deception does not go away. There are very few people left, in the world, who have a strong drive for the truth on ANY subject, let alone the biblical subject. Finding truth in any realm is all that is keeping anyone away from the delusion these days.

Keep up the fantastic work!

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I am one of the few who didn't buy the bullshit.

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Which bullshit? There so much of it! ;)

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Any of it. There is lots.

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That is interesting, I would be curious how the two vaccines compare in other adverse events like PE or CA… my father was a casualty of the Pfizer vaccine after a PE and then lung CA that spread to his brain…

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I know two older from my gym who both took the Moderna shots. One had a mini stroke and the other blood clots in his lungs. Neither of their doctors reported anything. Neither had a history of TIA & clots. I told them both that I believe these were caused by their Covid shots. They both said something interesting. “But I didn’t have the Pfizer. I had the Moderna”. I said it’s three times stronger than the Pfizer. It’s actually worse. Both looked like deer in headlights. SMH

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But, but, they did their part . . .

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So in reality the US Govt still is pushing an unsafe “vaccine” which even the most liberal Appeals Court in the Nation…the 9th Circuit….say is not a vaccine and does not do as it was original sold and given blank immunity. If this “vaccine” with all the negatives we have seen with it is now the “gold standard” of testing and allowed contamination imagine the total number of doses your kids will get of the same sorted trash with such “ new allowed standards”. The Govt is the sales person for Big Pharm for which Faucci gets a piece…$$$$…of the action!!??

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Sorry Steve but I don't know what ROR (Reporting Odds Ratio) means. I understand it's a negative measurement in regards to effectiveness and safety, but your article didn't enlighten me on the exact meaning.

With such negative results on Safety and Efficacy, neither Pfizer and Moderna should be stopped from distributing their crap until SAFETY and EFFICACY is proven AND they all accept LIABILITY for Vax INJURIES and XAX RELATED DEATHS. Because there is a flow of money from Big Pharma and the FDA there is no valid checking done by the FDA.

And, because the FDA receives massive contributions (kick-backs) from Big Pharma they turn a 'blind eye' and allow the DEADLY MAYHEM to carry on unnoticed.

Then there's my favourite 'Red Herring' = How can the FDA allow Big Pharma to distribute these unproven DEADLY INJECTIONS with NO LIABILITY for these deadly 'experimental' poisons?

Unjabbed Mick (UK) We'll live longer without corrupt medical intervention!

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