You know, I don't consider myself thick. But reading what you wrote merely proves that I'm delusional.
Even the title suggests that the jabs were effective.
Then a table follows, which to the untutored eye [effectively everyone without a degree in statistics] underlines that you were better off having a jab.
Maybe you could do a newsletter for thickies as well Steve?
Steve - has anyone tried to get thru to Jay Bhattacharya about using data to alter his position on this and other vaccines that is more consistent with the actual data??
He keeps saying things that are patently false and was assigned NIH director and will keep pushing $$ in the wrong directions??
Indeed, as per this study attached, most childhood vaccines inject male and female children with this known oestrogenic excipient, shown in this study to mimic the effects of diethyl stilbestrol. It goes by different names, usually polysorbate 80, also Tween 80. (Chemical name polyoxyethylene sorbitan monooleate and closely chemically related to polyethylene glycol = PEG). PEG is itself in lipid nanoparticles of mRNA COVID vaccines
Delayed effects of neonatal exposure to Tween 80 on female reproductive organs in rats
M Gajdová 1, J Jakubovsky, J Války
Affiliations Expand
PMID: 8473002 DOI: 10.1016/0278-6915(93)90092-d
Abstract
Neonatal female rats were injected ip (0.1 ml/rat) with Tween 80 in 1, 5 or 10% aqueous solution on days 4-7 after birth. Treatment with Tween 80 accelerated maturation, prolonged the oestrus cycle, and induced persistent vaginal oestrus. The relative weight of the uterus and ovaries was decreased relative to the untreated controls. Squamous cell metaplasia of the epithelial lining of the uterus and cytological changes in the uterus were indicative of chronic oestrogenic stimulation. Ovaries were without corpora lutea, and had degenerative follicles.
In a far less elegant manner, NZ hospitalisation / death, vaxx/unvaxx data showed that vaxx appeared to make no difference to the deaths between either group, except, that as deaths and vaxx rate escalated, the number of unvaxxed dying in hospitals declined to the trivial.
Kaplan-Meier analysis for all cause mortality for all persons enrolled in Medicare or Medicaid on 12-11-2020 should be done and released to the voters. The chief variables to examine are year of birth, sex, and mRNA injections.
The injections should also be examined for dose-response for mortality. My sister died one week after her one and only Pfizer jab. My brother in law died from COVID after his six “protective” mRNA injections.
They are surely hiding it. Just by not talking about it. Ignoring Steve and anyone else who tries to get thru is most telling. They cant have anyone near Trumps orbit that will tell him these things. IMO they have everything in order to make sure nothing changes in this new administration. Pam Bondi, Kash Patel, none of them are doing anything. I havent even heard Pete talk about it. I dont buy the "behind the scenes" thing anymore. Been fooled by that more than once.
Very sorry to hear about your sister. Given that Mr. Operation Warp Speed is the current President, I believe it is now LESS likely than ever that the deadliness of the mRNA vaccines will be exposed. The facts regarding Mr. Operation Warp Speed are FAR more sinister than people like to admit. Such as the atrocity described below, notice the DATE January 13, 2020:
This analysis hangs on the difference between COVID and non-COVID periods, but never defines the terms. I have no idea what a non-COVID period could possibly be in a time when the "vaccines" were being pushed.
Kirsch's spreadsheet shows that the non-COVID period lasted from June 14th 2021 until September 26th 2021, and the COVID period lasted from October 4th 2021 until May 8th 2022.
Kirsch's analysis only included people born between 1950 and 1954. They had mostly gotten the first dose before his non-COVID period started, even though many of them were still getting second doses during the non-COVID period.
The critical time of vaccine deaths is within the pre effectiveness period. The analysis done therefore could lack sensitivity to actual early vaccine deaths.
Hmm ages 67 to 71. Who would expect any Covid deaths(younger, Delta variant). Thus any extra deaths would be due to the vaccine. The fact of no difference says the vaccine is safe?
Maybe a stupid question, or I didn't look well enough, but what is the definition of "zero covid period"? Because befor covid, there were no vaccinees, and since the start of covid, we have had covid, so I am confused. Also ChatGPT couldnt find a clear definition in the article... Who can explain? Thanks!
oh yes, there is that one great covid injections beneficiary, it is called Social Security... Dr. David Martin can tell everyone something about it.
And when somebody writes like this: "We just killed around 500,000 Americans and we didn't save a single life." one needs to ask: are you Sir a part of this genocide? This art of saying, is irritarting when an innocent person is talking like this.
The most important thing missing from this piece is WHY the COVID vaccines "had no mortality benefit". The gold-standard RCTs from Pfizer and Moderna give us the answer: it's because the vaccines kill as many (or even slightly more) people from cardiovascular-related causes, than they save from COVID-related causes. The net effect of mRNA vaccination on mortality in the RCTs was "4 killed for every 3 saved".
The reason why vaccines had no mortality benefit in Kirsch's analysis is because he picked his high-COVID and low-COVID periods wrong. His low-COVID period lasted from June 14th 2021 to September 26th 2021, so the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated mortality was magnified during the period because there were still many people who had recently gotten the first dose so their mortality rate was reduced due to the temporal HVE. And his high-COVID period extended until early May 2022 even though there were low COVID deaths in April and May of 2022.
If he would've used only weeks 45 to 52 of 2021 as his high-COVID period, then unvaccinated people would've had about 4.3 times higher CMR than vaccinated people during the high-COVID period. And if he would've used the the second half of 2022 as his low COVID period, then unvaccinated people would've had only about 1.9 times higher CMR than vaccinated people during the low-COVID period.
I see you are completely ignoring the gold-standard RCT mortality data (the only TRULY unbiased data on the mortality impact of the vaccines without healthy user bias etc.), perhaps hiding behind "it's not statistically significant" to dismiss the profound and consistent unfavorable trends in the gold-standard RCT data, just because they dispel your point of view.
Maybe it wouldn't have been ethical to do an RCT where hundreds of extra people died of COVID because they were given a placebo even though a vaccine would've been available.
A Vietnamese trial for a self-amplifying mRNA vaccine had close to the same number of people in the vaccine and placebo groups and the groups were matched by age and other characteristics, but there were 16 deaths in the placebo group and 5 deaths in the vaccine group: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47905-1. The number of deaths that was attributed to COVID was 10 in the placebo group but only 1 in the vaccine group.
The Moderna and Pfizer trials were not powered to detect a statistically significant difference in COVID deaths, and they included relatively few elderly people or people who were at risk of dying from COVID.
The phase 3b of the Vietnamese trial for the ARCT-154 vaccine was designed to include people who were at least 60 years old or who were at increased risk of dying from COVID. The paper about the trial said: "There were no deaths in phases 1, 2, and 3a, but 21 deaths occurred in phase 3b, of 5 vaccinees and 16 placebo recipients. Of these, none were related to vaccination but 10 were considered to be associated with COVID-19 infection, one in a vaccinee and nine in placebo recipients." (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47905-1)
However the lower bound of the 95% CI for efficacy against death from COVID was still negative: "Efficacy against death due to COVID-19 was 86.5% (−7.4–98.3); the wide confidence limits reflecting that there were only 10 deaths, one vaccinee and nine placebo recipients."
The phase 3b study included a total of 16,100 subjects. If it would've included 1.61 million subjects instead and the placebo group would've had 1,100 more deaths than the vaccine group, would it have been ethical that so many people had to be sacrificed as test rabbits for the sake of a narrower CI?
Your low-COVID period consists of June 14th 2021 to September 26th 2021. But especially during the earlier part of your low-COVID period, the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated mortality was elevated because there were still many people who had recently gotten the first vaccine dose so they were impacted by the temporal healthy vaccinee effect. And your high-COVID period consists of October 4th 2021 to May 8th 2022, but in April 2022 there were no longer that many COVID deaths.
I tried editing your spreadsheet so that I changed the high-COVID period to the Delta peak on weeks 45 to 52 of 2021, and I changed the low-COVID period to weeks 36 to 42 of 2021 which were before the Delta wave. But now the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated CMR was about 4.29 during the high-COVID period but only about 2.90 during the low-COVID period. So unvaccinated people clearly had a bigger relative increase in mortality during the Delta wave.
From the time series plot I posted here, you can also see that the increase in mortality during the Delta wave was much more pronounced in unvaccinated people than vaccinated people: sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Mortality_during_COVID_and_non_COVID_periods_in_Czech_data. You should've also included a similar time series plot in this Substack post.
I think you forgot to analyze the non-Covid period After the full Covid wave was over. There you will find that the vaccinated are dying at a higher rate than the rate they were dying before. And also, you didn’t analyze the second part of the Covid wave where you would find the same bad news for the vaccinated. So sure you’re gonna find Whatever you’re looking for if you manipulate the dates. I didn’t manipulate the dates. I simply chose the Covid period When the Covid test started going up and then ended it when the Covid numbers went back to near zero.
if you then add on the second non-Covid. After that you will find That the vaccinated are now dying at a much higher rate than they were before during non-Covid periods.
You wrote: "I think you forgot to analyze the non-Covid period After the full Covid wave was over. There you will find that the vaccinated are dying at a higher rate than the rate they were dying before."
But that's because in mid-2021 there were still many recently vaccinated people who were impacted by the temporal HVE.
My ASMR for people in the Czech dataset was about 969 in May 2020. In comparison the ASMR of vaccinated people was about 606 in May 2021 but about 900 in May 2022, so both were lower than the 2020 baseline, but 2021 was about 37% lower than the baseline because vaccinated people were heavily impacted by the temporal HVE in May 2021:
year vax asmr # ASMR per 100,000 person-years in May of each year
2020 FALSE 969
2021 TRUE 606
2021 FALSE 2081
2022 TRUE 900
2022 FALSE 1584
If you would've used the second half of 2022 as your low-COVID period then it wouldn't have been confounded as much by the temporal HVE. My code above shows the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was about 3.4 in 2021 but only about 1.8 in 2022.
I counted people as vaccinated from the day of the first dose. But there's a low number of deaths in the first few weeks after vaccination, so if I would've counted people as unvaccinated until 3 weeks from the first dose, it would've worked in the favor of unvaccinated people because it would've reduced the mortality of unvaccinated people and increased the mortality of vaccinated people: https://sars2.net/czech4.html#ASMR_when_people_are_classified_as_unvaccinated_until_three_weeks_from_vaccination.
You will have immortal time bias favoring the vaccinated when your definition of "vaccinated" depends on having survived the 3-4 weeks between the first and second doses. So counting people as vaccinated starting at the first dose is correct.
Boom. This is why your Substack is my longest running subscription. I like numbers, open source data, methods and code. We are all biased but your practice of sharing it all will ultimately correct any biases. This is science.
Steve Kirsch is still excommunicated, banned and persona non grata from LinkedIn, the abusive monopoly owned by Microsoft, the abusive monopoly which forms the basis of Bill Gates’ wealth, which is tax-sheltered in the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hedge fund.
Bill Gates was a close and frequent associate of murdered Mossad & FBI honeytrap orchestrator Epstein.
Gates was and is also closely associated with the preparation and roll out of the Wuhan virus “pandemic”.
Gates’ highest academic achievement was graduating high school at 18, yet he runs mass-vaccination programs around the world. Gates’ eponymous Foundation bribes and influences mass media organizations around the western world to ensure that they are all “on-message”. Melinda Gates divorced Epstein buddy Bill in a hurry, and like Tipper Gore and many others has been suitably incentivized to keep quiet.
The NSA still runs back doors into Microsoft servers and software, btw.
Gates is a keen proponent of population reduction, with a goal of 500 million serfs to tend the land - he is, incidentally, the largest land owner in the USA.
Seen from this perspective, the Czech data and the millions of dead from mRNA injections makes sense: socially-conditioned Western people have been culled from their societies, ending their genetic lines for good. Several million deaths now leads to significant future reduction of the thinking and aware Eloi populations of Western societies.
Of course, the more cussed & less compliant thinking genes are by definition now more prominent in those societies. Will the evil people who perpetrated the Wuhan virus mRNA murders be hoist by their own petard, having socially engineered a less malleable society of Morlocks?
FINALLY one more essential voice:
https://expose-news.com/2025/03/14/slovak-mp-some-covid-vaccinated-people-are-now-gmos/?jetpack_skip_subscription_popup
"Around 500,000 Americans." McCullough is in that neighborhood of that number...while the political class left and right flees from all numbers. https://pomocon.substack.com/p/on-the-small-matter-of-the-560000
You know, I don't consider myself thick. But reading what you wrote merely proves that I'm delusional.
Even the title suggests that the jabs were effective.
Then a table follows, which to the untutored eye [effectively everyone without a degree in statistics] underlines that you were better off having a jab.
Maybe you could do a newsletter for thickies as well Steve?
Table says SAME mortality increase. Don’t you think it should be different if the vaccines worked?
Death rate is higher for the unwaxxed in Steve's little table
Isn't this what fauci said all along
Steve - has anyone tried to get thru to Jay Bhattacharya about using data to alter his position on this and other vaccines that is more consistent with the actual data??
He keeps saying things that are patently false and was assigned NIH director and will keep pushing $$ in the wrong directions??
I have tried. No response
I fear he will not be who needs to be in his position sadly
Indeed, as per this study attached, most childhood vaccines inject male and female children with this known oestrogenic excipient, shown in this study to mimic the effects of diethyl stilbestrol. It goes by different names, usually polysorbate 80, also Tween 80. (Chemical name polyoxyethylene sorbitan monooleate and closely chemically related to polyethylene glycol = PEG). PEG is itself in lipid nanoparticles of mRNA COVID vaccines
Journal Food Chem Toxicol
1993 Mar;31(3):183-90. doi: 10.1016/0278-6915(93)90092-d.
Delayed effects of neonatal exposure to Tween 80 on female reproductive organs in rats
M Gajdová 1, J Jakubovsky, J Války
Affiliations Expand
PMID: 8473002 DOI: 10.1016/0278-6915(93)90092-d
Abstract
Neonatal female rats were injected ip (0.1 ml/rat) with Tween 80 in 1, 5 or 10% aqueous solution on days 4-7 after birth. Treatment with Tween 80 accelerated maturation, prolonged the oestrus cycle, and induced persistent vaginal oestrus. The relative weight of the uterus and ovaries was decreased relative to the untreated controls. Squamous cell metaplasia of the epithelial lining of the uterus and cytological changes in the uterus were indicative of chronic oestrogenic stimulation. Ovaries were without corpora lutea, and had degenerative follicles.
In a far less elegant manner, NZ hospitalisation / death, vaxx/unvaxx data showed that vaxx appeared to make no difference to the deaths between either group, except, that as deaths and vaxx rate escalated, the number of unvaxxed dying in hospitals declined to the trivial.
https://drlatusdextro.substack.com/p/new-zealand-moh-data
We have a new American government. Will they hide the truth about the lethal injections?
Pete Hegseth should release the data on the deaths and injuries to our military.
RFK Jr. should release the injuries and deaths in the Medicare and Medicaid populations.
The FDA approved the lethal injections for emergency use on December 11, 2020. https://www.fda.gov/news-events/press-announcements/fda-takes-key-action-fight-against-covid-19-issuing-emergency-use-authorization-first-covid-19
Kaplan-Meier analysis for all cause mortality for all persons enrolled in Medicare or Medicaid on 12-11-2020 should be done and released to the voters. The chief variables to examine are year of birth, sex, and mRNA injections.
The injections should also be examined for dose-response for mortality. My sister died one week after her one and only Pfizer jab. My brother in law died from COVID after his six “protective” mRNA injections.
They are surely hiding it. Just by not talking about it. Ignoring Steve and anyone else who tries to get thru is most telling. They cant have anyone near Trumps orbit that will tell him these things. IMO they have everything in order to make sure nothing changes in this new administration. Pam Bondi, Kash Patel, none of them are doing anything. I havent even heard Pete talk about it. I dont buy the "behind the scenes" thing anymore. Been fooled by that more than once.
Very sorry to hear about your sister. Given that Mr. Operation Warp Speed is the current President, I believe it is now LESS likely than ever that the deadliness of the mRNA vaccines will be exposed. The facts regarding Mr. Operation Warp Speed are FAR more sinister than people like to admit. Such as the atrocity described below, notice the DATE January 13, 2020:
https://x.com/Mike_Pence/status/1328349116414439430?lang=en
https://x.com/IvankaTrump/status/1328324970854948866?lang=en
And then this in 2023:
https://www.newsweek.com/trump-says-he-saved-100-million-lives-covid-vaccines-1774178
https://www.mediaite.com/tv/with-a-straight-face-trump-suggests-he-saved-100-million-lives-and-says-i-dont-even-talk-about-it/
This analysis hangs on the difference between COVID and non-COVID periods, but never defines the terms. I have no idea what a non-COVID period could possibly be in a time when the "vaccines" were being pushed.
Kirsch's spreadsheet shows that the non-COVID period lasted from June 14th 2021 until September 26th 2021, and the COVID period lasted from October 4th 2021 until May 8th 2022.
Kirsch's analysis only included people born between 1950 and 1954. They had mostly gotten the first dose before his non-COVID period started, even though many of them were still getting second doses during the non-COVID period.
The critical time of vaccine deaths is within the pre effectiveness period. The analysis done therefore could lack sensitivity to actual early vaccine deaths.
Hmm ages 67 to 71. Who would expect any Covid deaths(younger, Delta variant). Thus any extra deaths would be due to the vaccine. The fact of no difference says the vaccine is safe?
Maybe a stupid question, or I didn't look well enough, but what is the definition of "zero covid period"? Because befor covid, there were no vaccinees, and since the start of covid, we have had covid, so I am confused. Also ChatGPT couldnt find a clear definition in the article... Who can explain? Thanks!
Pretty compelling
oh yes, there is that one great covid injections beneficiary, it is called Social Security... Dr. David Martin can tell everyone something about it.
And when somebody writes like this: "We just killed around 500,000 Americans and we didn't save a single life." one needs to ask: are you Sir a part of this genocide? This art of saying, is irritarting when an innocent person is talking like this.
The most important thing missing from this piece is WHY the COVID vaccines "had no mortality benefit". The gold-standard RCTs from Pfizer and Moderna give us the answer: it's because the vaccines kill as many (or even slightly more) people from cardiovascular-related causes, than they save from COVID-related causes. The net effect of mRNA vaccination on mortality in the RCTs was "4 killed for every 3 saved".
https://dailysceptic.org/2022/04/09/covid-vaccines-increase-risk-of-heart-related-deaths-by-up-to-50-lancet-analysis-of-trial-data-finds/
The reason why vaccines had no mortality benefit in Kirsch's analysis is because he picked his high-COVID and low-COVID periods wrong. His low-COVID period lasted from June 14th 2021 to September 26th 2021, so the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated mortality was magnified during the period because there were still many people who had recently gotten the first dose so their mortality rate was reduced due to the temporal HVE. And his high-COVID period extended until early May 2022 even though there were low COVID deaths in April and May of 2022.
If he would've used only weeks 45 to 52 of 2021 as his high-COVID period, then unvaccinated people would've had about 4.3 times higher CMR than vaccinated people during the high-COVID period. And if he would've used the the second half of 2022 as his low COVID period, then unvaccinated people would've had only about 1.9 times higher CMR than vaccinated people during the low-COVID period.
I see you are completely ignoring the gold-standard RCT mortality data (the only TRULY unbiased data on the mortality impact of the vaccines without healthy user bias etc.), perhaps hiding behind "it's not statistically significant" to dismiss the profound and consistent unfavorable trends in the gold-standard RCT data, just because they dispel your point of view.
Maybe it wouldn't have been ethical to do an RCT where hundreds of extra people died of COVID because they were given a placebo even though a vaccine would've been available.
A Vietnamese trial for a self-amplifying mRNA vaccine had close to the same number of people in the vaccine and placebo groups and the groups were matched by age and other characteristics, but there were 16 deaths in the placebo group and 5 deaths in the vaccine group: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47905-1. The number of deaths that was attributed to COVID was 10 in the placebo group but only 1 in the vaccine group.
Wow. Again you are ignoring the ACTUAL Pfizer and Moderna RCT mortality results. Please show us the OVERALL lives saved. And if you claim "the benefits outweigh the risks", then show us the COVID death reduction that actually outweighs the non-COVID death increase in the RCTs. https://www.cell.com/action/showFullTableHTML?isHtml=true&tableId=tbl1&pii=S2589-0042%2823%2900810-6
The Moderna and Pfizer trials were not powered to detect a statistically significant difference in COVID deaths, and they included relatively few elderly people or people who were at risk of dying from COVID.
The phase 3b of the Vietnamese trial for the ARCT-154 vaccine was designed to include people who were at least 60 years old or who were at increased risk of dying from COVID. The paper about the trial said: "There were no deaths in phases 1, 2, and 3a, but 21 deaths occurred in phase 3b, of 5 vaccinees and 16 placebo recipients. Of these, none were related to vaccination but 10 were considered to be associated with COVID-19 infection, one in a vaccinee and nine in placebo recipients." (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-47905-1)
However the lower bound of the 95% CI for efficacy against death from COVID was still negative: "Efficacy against death due to COVID-19 was 86.5% (−7.4–98.3); the wide confidence limits reflecting that there were only 10 deaths, one vaccinee and nine placebo recipients."
The phase 3b study included a total of 16,100 subjects. If it would've included 1.61 million subjects instead and the placebo group would've had 1,100 more deaths than the vaccine group, would it have been ethical that so many people had to be sacrificed as test rabbits for the sake of a narrower CI?
Your low-COVID period consists of June 14th 2021 to September 26th 2021. But especially during the earlier part of your low-COVID period, the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated mortality was elevated because there were still many people who had recently gotten the first vaccine dose so they were impacted by the temporal healthy vaccinee effect. And your high-COVID period consists of October 4th 2021 to May 8th 2022, but in April 2022 there were no longer that many COVID deaths.
I tried editing your spreadsheet so that I changed the high-COVID period to the Delta peak on weeks 45 to 52 of 2021, and I changed the low-COVID period to weeks 36 to 42 of 2021 which were before the Delta wave. But now the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated CMR was about 4.29 during the high-COVID period but only about 2.90 during the low-COVID period. So unvaccinated people clearly had a bigger relative increase in mortality during the Delta wave.
From the time series plot I posted here, you can also see that the increase in mortality during the Delta wave was much more pronounced in unvaccinated people than vaccinated people: sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Mortality_during_COVID_and_non_COVID_periods_in_Czech_data. You should've also included a similar time series plot in this Substack post.
I think you forgot to analyze the non-Covid period After the full Covid wave was over. There you will find that the vaccinated are dying at a higher rate than the rate they were dying before. And also, you didn’t analyze the second part of the Covid wave where you would find the same bad news for the vaccinated. So sure you’re gonna find Whatever you’re looking for if you manipulate the dates. I didn’t manipulate the dates. I simply chose the Covid period When the Covid test started going up and then ended it when the Covid numbers went back to near zero.
if you then add on the second non-Covid. After that you will find That the vaccinated are now dying at a much higher rate than they were before during non-Covid periods.
You wrote: "I think you forgot to analyze the non-Covid period After the full Covid wave was over. There you will find that the vaccinated are dying at a higher rate than the rate they were dying before."
But that's because in mid-2021 there were still many recently vaccinated people who were impacted by the temporal HVE.
My ASMR for people in the Czech dataset was about 969 in May 2020. In comparison the ASMR of vaccinated people was about 606 in May 2021 but about 900 in May 2022, so both were lower than the 2020 baseline, but 2021 was about 37% lower than the baseline because vaccinated people were heavily impacted by the temporal HVE in May 2021:
> cul=\(x,y)y[cut(x,c(y,Inf),,T,F)]
> ages=c(0,3:9*5,50:89,18:20*5)
> t=fread("https://sars2.net/f/czbucketsdaily.csv.gz")
> a=t[month(date)==5,.(pop=sum(alive),dead=sum(dead)),.(vax=dose>0,year=year(date),age=cul(age,ages))]
> a=merge(a,fread("https://sars2.net/f/czcensus2021pop.csv")[,sum(pop),.(age=cul(age,ages))][,.(age,std=V1/sum(V1))])
> a[,.(asmr=round(sum(dead/pop*std*365e5))),.(year,vax)]|>print(r=F)
year vax asmr # ASMR per 100,000 person-years in May of each year
2020 FALSE 969
2021 TRUE 606
2021 FALSE 2081
2022 TRUE 900
2022 FALSE 1584
If you would've used the second half of 2022 as your low-COVID period then it wouldn't have been confounded as much by the temporal HVE. My code above shows the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was about 3.4 in 2021 but only about 1.8 in 2022.
How are the vaccinated determined? Is there a time window when deaths are deemed to be "unvaccinated", thus skewing the results?
I counted people as vaccinated from the day of the first dose. But there's a low number of deaths in the first few weeks after vaccination, so if I would've counted people as unvaccinated until 3 weeks from the first dose, it would've worked in the favor of unvaccinated people because it would've reduced the mortality of unvaccinated people and increased the mortality of vaccinated people: https://sars2.net/czech4.html#ASMR_when_people_are_classified_as_unvaccinated_until_three_weeks_from_vaccination.
You will have immortal time bias favoring the vaccinated when your definition of "vaccinated" depends on having survived the 3-4 weeks between the first and second doses. So counting people as vaccinated starting at the first dose is correct.
Boom. This is why your Substack is my longest running subscription. I like numbers, open source data, methods and code. We are all biased but your practice of sharing it all will ultimately correct any biases. This is science.
Absolutely. If I were the President I'd form a Department of Science and put Steve Kirsch in charge. Numbers do not lie.
Thanks!
Steve Kirsch is still excommunicated, banned and persona non grata from LinkedIn, the abusive monopoly owned by Microsoft, the abusive monopoly which forms the basis of Bill Gates’ wealth, which is tax-sheltered in the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation hedge fund.
Bill Gates was a close and frequent associate of murdered Mossad & FBI honeytrap orchestrator Epstein.
Gates was and is also closely associated with the preparation and roll out of the Wuhan virus “pandemic”.
Gates’ highest academic achievement was graduating high school at 18, yet he runs mass-vaccination programs around the world. Gates’ eponymous Foundation bribes and influences mass media organizations around the western world to ensure that they are all “on-message”. Melinda Gates divorced Epstein buddy Bill in a hurry, and like Tipper Gore and many others has been suitably incentivized to keep quiet.
The NSA still runs back doors into Microsoft servers and software, btw.
Gates is a keen proponent of population reduction, with a goal of 500 million serfs to tend the land - he is, incidentally, the largest land owner in the USA.
Seen from this perspective, the Czech data and the millions of dead from mRNA injections makes sense: socially-conditioned Western people have been culled from their societies, ending their genetic lines for good. Several million deaths now leads to significant future reduction of the thinking and aware Eloi populations of Western societies.
Of course, the more cussed & less compliant thinking genes are by definition now more prominent in those societies. Will the evil people who perpetrated the Wuhan virus mRNA murders be hoist by their own petard, having socially engineered a less malleable society of Morlocks?
Unforgiven. We want revenge.
Did Steve win that bet?
Not yet, but this will be the centerpiece. So far, nobody’s found an error.