What do you mean higher CFR for omicron ? The first OWID graph shows a peak of slightly over 500 cases per day in Fall 2021 (delta), and a peak of slightly over 3,000 cases a day in Feb/Mar 2022 (omicron). The second graph shows that the death rate peak is slightly higher in the first of these two waves. Thus the CFR is more than 6 times…
What do you mean higher CFR for omicron ? The first OWID graph shows a peak of slightly over 500 cases per day in Fall 2021 (delta), and a peak of slightly over 3,000 cases a day in Feb/Mar 2022 (omicron). The second graph shows that the death rate peak is slightly higher in the first of these two waves. Thus the CFR is more than 6 times higher for delta than omicron. Even if you compare the entirety of the pre- and post-omicron periods, about 40% of Singapore's ca 2,000 official Covid deaths occurred pre-omicron. But less than 10% of its ca 3,000,000 official Covid cases are pre-omicron:
Finally someone else pointed this out. I think when Kirsch compared the two plots from OWID, he accidentally compared the March 2022 spike for cases against the October 2021 spike for deaths. There's a pattern of 4 roughly equally spaced spikes, but the first spike for cases was so low that it's easy to miss (especially with OWID's irregularly spaced x-axis labels).
What do you mean higher CFR for omicron ? The first OWID graph shows a peak of slightly over 500 cases per day in Fall 2021 (delta), and a peak of slightly over 3,000 cases a day in Feb/Mar 2022 (omicron). The second graph shows that the death rate peak is slightly higher in the first of these two waves. Thus the CFR is more than 6 times higher for delta than omicron. Even if you compare the entirety of the pre- and post-omicron periods, about 40% of Singapore's ca 2,000 official Covid deaths occurred pre-omicron. But less than 10% of its ca 3,000,000 official Covid cases are pre-omicron:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/singapore/
Of course, the pattern of *all-cause* mortality in Singapore is something else, and does indeed show a steadily worsening situation up to the present:
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/excess-mortality-p-scores-average-baseline?country=~SGP
Finally someone else pointed this out. I think when Kirsch compared the two plots from OWID, he accidentally compared the March 2022 spike for cases against the October 2021 spike for deaths. There's a pattern of 4 roughly equally spaced spikes, but the first spike for cases was so low that it's easy to miss (especially with OWID's irregularly spaced x-axis labels).