It doesn't get any more obvious than this. And still, nobody in the mainstream media or medical community is speaking out? How long will they keep ignoring their own data?
In the ONS data the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was in fact elevated during the Delta wave that peaked around August 2021 and during the COVID wave in the winter of 2021-2022: https://sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Comparison_to_English_ONS_data. In the newest edition of the ONS dataset, the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was about 1.83 in January 2022 but about 1.22 in May 2022, so the ratio dropped a lot after the COVID deaths went down.
The ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR went down over time because the effect of the HVE got weaker over time. In April to May 2021 there were still many people who had been vaccinated recently so they were impacted by the temporal/time-varying HVE.
In the Dutch CBS data the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR is also clearly elevated during the COVID wave in the winter of 2021-2022: https://sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Comparison_to_Dutch_CBS_data. But the ratio was still higher in May 2021 than the winter of 2021-2022 because the HVE was stronger in May 2021.
Steve, as a health care practitioner for 52 years, my experience has been that people who are healthier and more health conscious are more likely to shy away from vaccines. They are usually individuals with higher education levels, and question and research to make their decision. They are usually the ones who will buy organic food, exercise regularly and have an aversion to ingesting too many chemicals, including medications.
What you're saying is probably true about the EXTREMELY health conscious, but as far as the "masses", the "healthy vaccine user bias" that Steve alludes to is very real and more of a dominating trend:
I think what you said is valid and that is why all the psyop gaslighting to get people to take the injections against their better judgement, It worked far too well. But having done that coercion play on us once and our seeing the negative outcomes our trust is broken in the government and the medical system, and we have seen with every booster and every new plandemic scare far fewer people line up to take the jabs.
The saddest part for me is finding put that the "practice of medicine" does not including tracking the results of treatments and adjusting afterwards. I thought practices were mini science castles with scientists seeing how their drugs performed with patients and changing their behavior based on observed outcomes. That is what I get for reading old history about medicial professionals.
The real betrayal is that of the new Administration. This could have been ended on day one of our new HHS Sec's ascension to the throne via ending the EUA that enables the PREP Act. Instead, the man has given more power to CDC (!) so that it can be in control of incoming "plandemics". ...And, the "beautiful" bombs continue to fall thanks to our new Peacemaker-In-Chief... Mr. OperationWarpSpeed.
You are one of the few to see through the veil!! And exactly right! If people were capable of critical analysis anymore, everyone would see what is hiding in plain sight! What we are witnessing first hand is the final stage of the Great Reset/Global One World Government.
It's past the point of no return, as is becoming evident. Diaprax, in every sense of the word.
98% don't even know what Diaprax is ( dialectic and praxis)!
When are the people who lied to us and murdered millions of us with their vax that didnt even work going to be brought to book.The quicker Kier Stalin gets booted out of the Brittish Reigstadt the quicker the UK will get back its freedom of speech.
(3) They refuse to see what is right in front of them. Denial of something that is too painful to admit. The masses are compromised and rapidly losing to the globallists
Re: "when the data shows you killed people, all you have to do to fix the problem is to stop publishing the data!" LOL, they didn't count on you. Keep lobbing in these posts, it may take a while yet, but the covidians' castle of fraud and lies and tyranny will fall.
Because of the temporal healthy vaccinee effect, there is a very low number of deaths in the first few weeks after vaccination in the ONS dataset and in other datasets: https://sars2.net/connecticut.html#Comparison_of_deaths_by_weeks_since_vaccination_to_other_datasets. In February 2021 a large part of all vaccinated people had still been vaccinated recently, so vaccinated people had very low non-COVID mortality. And a corollary of the temporal HVE is also that there was temporarily elevated non-COVID mortality among people who remained unvaccinated when the first dose was rolled out.
There was also high COVID mortality in February 2021 which further increased the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR. In February 2021 COVID ASMR accounted for about 41% of total ASMR in unvaccinated people but only about 20% of total ASMR in vaccinated people:
month Unvaccinated Vaccinated # COVID ASMR as percentage of total ASMR
2021-01 47 54
2021-02 41 20
2021-03 18 6
2021-04 6 2
2021-05 3 1
2021-06 3 1
2021-07 14 3
2021-08 24 5
2021-09 22 7
2021-10 20 6
2021-11 25 6
2021-12 28 5
2022-01 32 10
2022-02 19 7
2022-03 15 7
2022-04 17 10
2022-05 9 4
I believe there are two main reasons why the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was not as high in January 2021 as in February 2021. One is that vulnerable groups of people had been priorized for early vaccination. And the other is that vaccinated people had high COVID ASMR in January 2021 because there had not yet been enough time for the immune response to build up after vaccination, and because many vaccinated people had not yet gotten a second dose.
Wouldn't the confounder be the magical 2 week delay in labelling someone as vaccinated? Despite what the ONS say in their data, they do not and they cannot account for that. Norman Fenton et al proved they couldn't truly get the raw data because the who guidelines of 2 weeks before labelling someone was universal and he could see it in the data, that would be my interpretation.
I think the ONS do in fact count people as vaccinated immediately after vaccination, and the various supposed anomalies presented by Fenton can be explained by the healthy vaccinee effect: https://sars2.net/rootclaim.html#Fenton_and_Neils_miscategorization_bias. There is also a low number of deaths in the weeks following vaccination in the record-level datasets from New Zealand, Czech Republic, and United States.
In the Czech data the mortality rate of unvaccinated people also goes up when the first dose is rolled out, but it's because of the healthy vaccinee effect. There's a very low number of deaths in the weeks following vaccination in the record-level datasets from the Czech Republic, New Zealand, and United States. It shows that Fenton et al.'s misclassification hypothesis is not needed to explain why the mortality rate of people with n-1 doses shoots up when the nth dose is rolled out.
(Edit: Apparently it wasn't Kirsch who deleted my comments, but all of my comments from all Substack blogs were deleted because my account got flagged for some reason.)
Yeah the same thing happens in the Czech data even though there's no Fentonian cheap tricks involved. See my first link.
Also read this: https://sars2.net/uk.html#Problems_with_Fenton_and_Neils_n_1_dose_misclassification_hypothesis. Fenton speculated that reason why the mortality rate of people with two but not more doses shot up when the third dose is rolled out was because people who died soon after getting the third dose were misclassified under the second dose. But if you look at people with two or more doses, their mortality rate remains stable when the third dose is rolled out, even though it should also shoot up if there was a huge number of people dying after the third dose.
I am sure this would make it even worse. A spike in death and disability happens after the vaccination; the cynic might say this was the reason for that two-week hiatus.
You can forget about any truth coming from the mainstream media. Since 2020 I have ignored them and if I watch any affiliates in the Houston area it is only to see who has been killing whom. Don't watch it for sports or weather. If I want either of that I go to my mobile phone. Mainstream media is just for the Democrats where they make mountains out of mole hills..
Perhaps you might find this scholar's brief opinion worth sharing? I sure did! May want to look into it before it disappears?
https://x.com/liz_churchill10/status/1904584740402823271
In the ONS data the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was in fact elevated during the Delta wave that peaked around August 2021 and during the COVID wave in the winter of 2021-2022: https://sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Comparison_to_English_ONS_data. In the newest edition of the ONS dataset, the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was about 1.83 in January 2022 but about 1.22 in May 2022, so the ratio dropped a lot after the COVID deaths went down.
The ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR went down over time because the effect of the HVE got weaker over time. In April to May 2021 there were still many people who had been vaccinated recently so they were impacted by the temporal/time-varying HVE.
In the Dutch CBS data the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR is also clearly elevated during the COVID wave in the winter of 2021-2022: https://sars2.net/rootclaim3.html#Comparison_to_Dutch_CBS_data. But the ratio was still higher in May 2021 than the winter of 2021-2022 because the HVE was stronger in May 2021.
Steve, as a health care practitioner for 52 years, my experience has been that people who are healthier and more health conscious are more likely to shy away from vaccines. They are usually individuals with higher education levels, and question and research to make their decision. They are usually the ones who will buy organic food, exercise regularly and have an aversion to ingesting too many chemicals, including medications.
What you're saying is probably true about the EXTREMELY health conscious, but as far as the "masses", the "healthy vaccine user bias" that Steve alludes to is very real and more of a dominating trend:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territories_by_life_expectancy#US_Mortality_DataBase_(2019)
So the vaccine-pushers absolutely do exploit this to make it LOOK LIKE the vaccine reduces mortality when it really doesn't.
I think what you said is valid and that is why all the psyop gaslighting to get people to take the injections against their better judgement, It worked far too well. But having done that coercion play on us once and our seeing the negative outcomes our trust is broken in the government and the medical system, and we have seen with every booster and every new plandemic scare far fewer people line up to take the jabs.
The saddest part for me is finding put that the "practice of medicine" does not including tracking the results of treatments and adjusting afterwards. I thought practices were mini science castles with scientists seeing how their drugs performed with patients and changing their behavior based on observed outcomes. That is what I get for reading old history about medicial professionals.
The real betrayal is that of the new Administration. This could have been ended on day one of our new HHS Sec's ascension to the throne via ending the EUA that enables the PREP Act. Instead, the man has given more power to CDC (!) so that it can be in control of incoming "plandemics". ...And, the "beautiful" bombs continue to fall thanks to our new Peacemaker-In-Chief... Mr. OperationWarpSpeed.
You are one of the few to see through the veil!! And exactly right! If people were capable of critical analysis anymore, everyone would see what is hiding in plain sight! What we are witnessing first hand is the final stage of the Great Reset/Global One World Government.
It's past the point of no return, as is becoming evident. Diaprax, in every sense of the word.
98% don't even know what Diaprax is ( dialectic and praxis)!
"The deceived don't know that they are deceived."
Agree. We are headed for some really rough seas... Heads on swivel!
In 2009 Alex Jones predicted this whole story, right down to how the vax would sterilize the young: https://www.newstreason.com/post/remember-in-2009-when-alex-jones-warned-the-government-would-use-vaccines-as-a-soft-kill-platform Google has banned this video, but DuckDuckGo, rumble and Brave show it
Wilful blindness...
When are the people who lied to us and murdered millions of us with their vax that didnt even work going to be brought to book.The quicker Kier Stalin gets booted out of the Brittish Reigstadt the quicker the UK will get back its freedom of speech.
It’s not just Covid vaccine data, the ONS is a complete shambles. It’s labour force survey, trade data are a mess as explained here
https://theweek.com/politics/whats-gone-wrong-at-the-ons-data-economic-activity
Manufacturing output, GDP all wrong. Further comment here
https://www.woodfordviews.com/post/data-vs-common-sense-fight
Perhaps nobody talks about it because…(1) they’ve been told statistical analysis can’t be trusted (2) nobody understands statistics.
(3) They refuse to see what is right in front of them. Denial of something that is too painful to admit. The masses are compromised and rapidly losing to the globallists
Early on I put my thoughts into a song-----turns out to be pretty spot on! YES/NO?
https://rumble.com/v5d4805-mask-by-roy-mcintosh-video-banned-on-youtube-and-facebook..html
Steve Kirsch— Thank you.
Re: "when the data shows you killed people, all you have to do to fix the problem is to stop publishing the data!" LOL, they didn't count on you. Keep lobbing in these posts, it may take a while yet, but the covidians' castle of fraud and lies and tyranny will fall.
Just to note, there is one outlier: Febr.21 ratio 5,8. Is there any explanation for this?
Because of the temporal healthy vaccinee effect, there is a very low number of deaths in the first few weeks after vaccination in the ONS dataset and in other datasets: https://sars2.net/connecticut.html#Comparison_of_deaths_by_weeks_since_vaccination_to_other_datasets. In February 2021 a large part of all vaccinated people had still been vaccinated recently, so vaccinated people had very low non-COVID mortality. And a corollary of the temporal HVE is also that there was temporarily elevated non-COVID mortality among people who remained unvaccinated when the first dose was rolled out.
There was also high COVID mortality in February 2021 which further increased the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR. In February 2021 COVID ASMR accounted for about 41% of total ASMR in unvaccinated people but only about 20% of total ASMR in vaccinated people:
> ons=fread("https://sars2.net/f/ons.csv")[ed==7&age=="Total"]
> o=ons[status%like%"accin",asmr[cause=="Deaths involving COVID-19"]/asmr[cause=="All causes"]*100,.(month,status)]
> o[status=="Ever vaccinated",status:="Vaccinated"]
> round(xtabs(V1~month+status,o))
month Unvaccinated Vaccinated # COVID ASMR as percentage of total ASMR
2021-01 47 54
2021-02 41 20
2021-03 18 6
2021-04 6 2
2021-05 3 1
2021-06 3 1
2021-07 14 3
2021-08 24 5
2021-09 22 7
2021-10 20 6
2021-11 25 6
2021-12 28 5
2022-01 32 10
2022-02 19 7
2022-03 15 7
2022-04 17 10
2022-05 9 4
I believe there are two main reasons why the ratio between unvaccinated and vaccinated ASMR was not as high in January 2021 as in February 2021. One is that vulnerable groups of people had been priorized for early vaccination. And the other is that vaccinated people had high COVID ASMR in January 2021 because there had not yet been enough time for the immune response to build up after vaccination, and because many vaccinated people had not yet gotten a second dose.
Wouldn't the confounder be the magical 2 week delay in labelling someone as vaccinated? Despite what the ONS say in their data, they do not and they cannot account for that. Norman Fenton et al proved they couldn't truly get the raw data because the who guidelines of 2 weeks before labelling someone was universal and he could see it in the data, that would be my interpretation.
I think the ONS do in fact count people as vaccinated immediately after vaccination, and the various supposed anomalies presented by Fenton can be explained by the healthy vaccinee effect: https://sars2.net/rootclaim.html#Fenton_and_Neils_miscategorization_bias. There is also a low number of deaths in the weeks following vaccination in the record-level datasets from New Zealand, Czech Republic, and United States.
I think Fenton and Clare Craig are probably controlled opposition: https://sars2.net/turbo.html#Appendix_Is_the_Fenton_circle_controlled_opposition.
Every time they rolled out the vaccine to the different age groups, the unvaccinated died in that age group. It's obvious.
Either Kirsch or his moderator deleted all of my comments, but see these pages: https://sars2.net/rootclaim4.html#Ratio_between_unvaccinated_and_vaccinated_ASMR_in_ONS_data, https://sars2.net/rootclaim.html#Fenton_and_Neils_miscategorization_bias, https://sars2.net/uk.html#Problems_with_Fenton_and_Neils_n_1_dose_misclassification_hypothesis.
In the Czech data the mortality rate of unvaccinated people also goes up when the first dose is rolled out, but it's because of the healthy vaccinee effect. There's a very low number of deaths in the weeks following vaccination in the record-level datasets from the Czech Republic, New Zealand, and United States. It shows that Fenton et al.'s misclassification hypothesis is not needed to explain why the mortality rate of people with n-1 doses shoots up when the nth dose is rolled out.
Fenton's cheap trick paper was completely demolished here by Peter Hegarty: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/387220055_A_DETAILED_ANALYSIS_OF_CLAIMS_OF_MISCATEGORIZATION_BIAS_IN_STUDIES_OF_COVID-19_VACCINE_EFFECTIVENESS.
(Edit: Apparently it wasn't Kirsch who deleted my comments, but all of my comments from all Substack blogs were deleted because my account got flagged for some reason.)
Yeah the same thing happens in the Czech data even though there's no Fentonian cheap tricks involved. See my first link.
Also read this: https://sars2.net/uk.html#Problems_with_Fenton_and_Neils_n_1_dose_misclassification_hypothesis. Fenton speculated that reason why the mortality rate of people with two but not more doses shot up when the third dose is rolled out was because people who died soon after getting the third dose were misclassified under the second dose. But if you look at people with two or more doses, their mortality rate remains stable when the third dose is rolled out, even though it should also shoot up if there was a huge number of people dying after the third dose.
I am sure this would make it even worse. A spike in death and disability happens after the vaccination; the cynic might say this was the reason for that two-week hiatus.
Does it show the opposite?
You can forget about any truth coming from the mainstream media. Since 2020 I have ignored them and if I watch any affiliates in the Houston area it is only to see who has been killing whom. Don't watch it for sports or weather. If I want either of that I go to my mobile phone. Mainstream media is just for the Democrats where they make mountains out of mole hills..