22 Comments
⭠ Return to thread

What do you think of this Steve? In the UK, there appears to have been a sudden uptick in reported cases in 2016, and this appears to mirror a trend seen in studies working with actuals.

https://sebastienpowell.substack.com/p/an-investigation-into-sudden-athlete

Expand full comment

what do you think of this Sebastian:

2 dummies were looking at a tree. one could not see the end of his nose because of it while the other could not see the forest around it … also because of it! which one was the bigger numpty and why would that make any difference when we’re not talking about what’s actually going on now? 2016 and 2021 are not the same!!!! look at the data

Expand full comment

They're not, no - according the data presented in the article, 2021 was lower than 2016. What data are you referring to?

But regardless we can see it was a preexisting phenomenon that appeared to be accelerating, and the question is why?

Expand full comment

Hi Sebastian,

i see you took my

comment seriously. i’m sorry i wasn’t more clear.

the 2016 data is not a “trend” but is more reasonably seen as an outlier. by the same approach, the 2021 data would be an outlier too … except that the 2022 data is about to completely dwarf it! that’s the beginning of a trend … and from what i see in healthcare (i work on the front lines) … it’s about to turn into a hyperbole … as all cause mortality is skyrocketing in 2022 (definitely much worse than 2021). but, let’a wait and see the data before we continue this conversation.

Expand full comment

It's not an 'outlier', because it continued. The peak was in 2019. Have you actually read the article?

In the UK, all cause mortality, as far as I can see, is not 'skyrocketing', and is still below 2020 (which was the highest).

Expand full comment

Myo/peri carditis cases spiked 3 mos after the vax rollout March '21, NOT in 2020. See table A and B. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2782900

Expand full comment

I was referring to 2016, not 2020.

Expand full comment

You were referring to trends and implying that the issue was going on all along when clearly there was a spike in March '21.

Expand full comment

Yes, it would appear there was a spike in 2016 that, so far, no one has been able to explain.

Expand full comment

Great, let's put up the chart, let's compare the spikes

Expand full comment

Go for it, the raw data is linked to in the article.

Expand full comment

Don't really have to...I know it's inconsequential compared to '21.

Expand full comment

OK, well that's not what the data seems to show - at least not in the UK.

Expand full comment

Then show it.

Expand full comment

I have, in the article.

Expand full comment