It's ridiculously easy to calculate a lower bound estimate on the number of Americans killed by the COVID vaccine: 500K
All you need is one honest paramedic, the number of paramedics, and knowledge of the Poisson distribution. This isn't rocket science. So why isn't anyone else making these estimates?
Executive summary
One honest paramedic + simple math + number of paramedics —> lower bound on deaths caused by the COVID vaccine in America.
A few honest doctors observing a death rate in their own practice —> lower bound on deaths.
I get at least 500K Americans killed by the COVID vaccines, no matter which way I do it. My results agree with many others who have used other estimation methods.
One honest paramedic: Harry Fisher
He texted me that has seen 20 deaths he is certain were caused by the COVID vaccine, and over 100 serious vaccine injuries.
Let’s just use the death count.
A Google search shows over 172,000 paramedics in the US.
For the purposes of a lower bound estimate, we have to assume that Harry is a statistical outlier, i.e., that he is the ONLY paramedic in the US who has seen numbers this high.
The Poisson distribution results for “seen 20 or more events, when we expected 6 events” is 5e-6.
So this means that on average, we’d estimate that the average paramedic sees 6 vaccine deaths.
So a minimum of 6 vax deaths * 172,000 paramedics works out to be slightly over 1M Americans that have been killed by the COVID vaccines.
You can do the similar estimates for doctor observations and there the math is even simpler because you know the denominator
I reached out to 5 doctors who reported seeing an average of 5 deaths per thousand vaccinated.
Let’s assume that I was very unlucky and all these doctors were 2 standard deviations from the mean. The average practice size was over 1,000 patients.
So that suggests a mean of 2 vaccine deaths in a 1,000 patient practice (which has a std deviation per Poisson of 1.4 so 2+2*1.4=4.8 which is close to our value of 5).
Since there were over 270M people who were vaccinated in America, the conservative estimate using this method is 540,000 Americans have been killed.
Here we don’t even need to know the total number of doctors at all or the patient overlap so there is less confusion. We only need to know that doctors don’t count people twice in their practice, which they don’t.
Summary
If I’m wrong, why aren’t we seeing the correct estimates from any mainstream epidemiologists anywhere in the world?
Any decent scientist would want to do estimates using various statistics to make sure they got the right answer. But nowadays, nobody is showing us their work.
I’ve been doing this for over 3 years now and all the estimates I get (from various methods) are all in the same ballpark, including this one. And my numbers agree with others who have been doing the same thing using a variety of methods (VAERS, large family member surveys, etc).
I’d like to see the work of the experts showing all of us got it wrong, but for some reason, they aren’t publishing their work. I guess they don’t want to embarrass us so they are keeping the true numbers a secret.
So I guess we’ll have to wait. But in the meantime, I wanted to make sure all these epidemiologists know that I’d love to be proven wrong and you won’t hurt my feelings if you show us all the correct estimates.
FYI: Harry Fisher's new book "Safe And Effective, For Profit: A Paramedic’s Story Exposing American Genocide" is included in Vaccine Safety Research Foundation's new Fundraising Raffle:
Misinformation Superspreader Library of Books. https://givebutter.com/superspreaderlibrary
I retired from medicine when it was obvious that pseudo-science and pure deceit had invaded what should have been Medicine as I was trained from med school days in 1971. …and onward into my speciality. I many many times avidly reviewed CDC material on infectious disease and best practice….those days are LONG GONE now. It did not take an Einstein to see the degree of pure pseudo-science which was the Faucci scam and the obviously wrong decision to freeze any use of HCQ and ivermectin…have used HCQ many times for other diseases without any issues yet for COVId it was banned!!! The vac complications and known ineffectiveness were well known to Big Pharma and the CDC and FDA yet kept from the people now dead or disabled from its use. These cover-up criminals very likely feel good about the damage they did to so many…much like those who worked the gas operations in WW2….they are the same folks who wish Trump to be in the Afterlife now. The Media…99%…very likely fall into that same category since they provide very few articles exposing the entire COVID scam and vac deaths/injuries…that is why little is being said by them.