"I was in conversation with a friend who said “Hopefully this will all be over in 2024”.
Of course, who wouldn’t want that? Do I think that’s likely? I don’t, I regret to say.
I wonder how many of us have heard of “The Stockdale Paradox”?
Named after a prisoner of war who made it home when others perished, it’s an odd combination of levelling utterly honestly with yourself about how much trouble you’re in, yet retaining an unshakable belief that you will survive.
This is the attitude I recommend.
His prisoner peers in Japanese camps who would speculate about when the war would end, and would fixate on a specific date, like Christmas 1943, were mostly dead by Easter 1944. Humans can “hang on” using that method of facing horrible situations.
The downside is that we commonly just collapse if the chosen deadline passes and if anything, the position is worse.
Surviving the tribulations that I think are coming are partly a practical matter (making whatever preparations you think are appropriate) but also partly a psychological & spiritual matter.
I’m definitely no survival expert. But we can learn from others who endured & came out the other end.
Dr Mike Yeadon (telegram);
"I was in conversation with a friend who said “Hopefully this will all be over in 2024”.
Of course, who wouldn’t want that? Do I think that’s likely? I don’t, I regret to say.
I wonder how many of us have heard of “The Stockdale Paradox”?
Named after a prisoner of war who made it home when others perished, it’s an odd combination of levelling utterly honestly with yourself about how much trouble you’re in, yet retaining an unshakable belief that you will survive.
This is the attitude I recommend.
His prisoner peers in Japanese camps who would speculate about when the war would end, and would fixate on a specific date, like Christmas 1943, were mostly dead by Easter 1944. Humans can “hang on” using that method of facing horrible situations.
The downside is that we commonly just collapse if the chosen deadline passes and if anything, the position is worse.
Surviving the tribulations that I think are coming are partly a practical matter (making whatever preparations you think are appropriate) but also partly a psychological & spiritual matter.
I’m definitely no survival expert. But we can learn from others who endured & came out the other end.
Best wishes,
Mike
Here’s one description. You can find many others.
medium.com/illumination/stockdale-parad…
t.me/DrMikeYeadonsolochannel/331