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I learned in statistics (part of analytical chemistry), "infinity" is any number (nuances properly considered) larger than 30. Tell that to the (unnuanced) "correlation is not causation" people.

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in feb 2020, i broke my hip and my heel while riding my bike, ironically, to a strength training class. no one- not the EMS guys who brought me to the hospital, not the surgeon who screwed my hip back together, not medicare, nor the driver's insurance company, which had- let's face it- motive to avoid paying the bill, tried to use the old "correlation is not causation" trick. no one said " it was a temporal association: the car just happened to hit you and throw you 10 ft from your bike at the exact moment when your hip and heel decided to break by chance." no one suggested that it was a coincidence or tried to tell me that my "injuries" were all in my head and that i needed some anti-anxiety medication and a few sessions with a shrink. no one brought up climate change or excessive gardening as possible explanations. no one thought it too mysterious to ever know the cause. no one said it might be genetic.

all of these suggestions would have been thought of as ridiculous, insensitive, completely bogus and maybe even grounds for legal malpractice action had anyone tried to gaslight me in such a manner. but if i had been "hit" by a vaccine, instead of a car, i would have been treated completely differently. i would have been totally responsible for my hospital bill and what's worse, no one would listen to me.

vaccines are the 3rd rail of medicine and public health.

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Chinese/Circassian variolation done properly (however they did it) and milking cows with cowpox may have worked, but Western variolation and vaccination since then do not seem very safe nor effective. (Disneyland SPREAD vaccine-strain measles! Why did it admit the recently vaccinated?) Even worse than calomel, which may at times have been justified when no better alternatives were available.

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