I describe a novel ratio analysis technique that is totally objective. If the vaccines are killing people in close proximity to the shot, this analysis can detect even small shifts.
Obviously, the more data points the more robust could be our conclusions. We need to get Dr. Ladapo to do this in Florida, to decrease the chance of confounding.
The only argument could be that the vaccinated deaths occurred in a later time period, on average, versus the unvaccinated, and that some other factor could cause deaths to rise as we move through the 730 day period. An argument could be made that something like “long covid” has an increasing lethality over time? A reach, I know, just playing Devil’s Advocate.
1) No anecdotes about vax success, but MANY about vax injury and death.
2) No anti-vaxxers that convert to vaxxers, but many that have transitioned the other way.
3) This simple 3-input model that shows life shortening consequences of jabs.
Please see my post 13march on this thread concerning an error you make in estimating the value of R which indicates the no harm threshold. Are you aware of this?
Most physicians, nurses, government officials, religious clergy all failed us. Maybe at first, they bought the covid lies but we are 3 years deep and these shots are killing and disabling 10x more than they are helping. But rest assured they will push covid boosters and they will become mandatory.
As a pharmacist and microbiologist, I knew there was never a medical need for a covid shot. Yet this mrna injection program was planned way in advance by the DOD -and the global powers have a mission to accomplish. I'm sure you know what it is.
May I ask why you knew there was never a medical need for a "Covid" shot?
I'm not trying to set you up, although there are 3 simple responses for why any human being, no matter what their age, should have never received even one Sh*tShot, ever, for "Covid".
Personally, I'm extremely miffed at the "Frontline Doctors" who didn't state this/these reasons from the very beginning.
I do not know Rebecca. But this is my take. 99% of covid hospitalizations and deaths could have been prevented with early outpatient treatment with generic oral medicines. But the government prevented this and said the only treatment was mrna shots which do not prevent infection, transmission or mortality.
I treated over 400 patients with covid symptoms and not a single one ended up in the hospital. Ironically, I could not prove they had covid as the covid pcr test in nonspecific to covid and has a false positive rate between 60-90% For those that did not tolerate medicines I would not have objected to conventional vaccines for those at high risk. But Mrna shots are completely different and very dangerous. In the end most so called covid death patients were murdered with the CDC protocol or remdesivir, sedation and high-pressure ventilation. For each "covid" death the federal government would compensate the hospital between 35-to 90 Thousand dollars.
true it appears. but, you might think the geniuses at CDC would be looking into that. the excess death trend seems unassailable. if this was, say Love Canal deaths, EPA would be all over it.
Below is the email/letter that I wrote to Ohio Governor Mike DeWine challenging him to have his Director of Public Health take this "Steve Kirsch Challenge." I referenced Steve's first Substack article on this a couple of days ago. - Tom Haviland
Governor DeWine,
You can become a HERO to our country and the world by taking the steps outlined in Steve Kirsch's Substack article below!
Sir, here is your opportunity to "get on the correct side" of this issue that not only are the COVID-19 "vaccines" ineffective in stopping anyone from catching or transmitting the virus, they are also killing and injuring millions of people around the world.
Please instruct your Director of the Ohio Department of Health, Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff, to provide the death records and COVID vaccination records for all deceased Ohioans for the years 2021 and 2022 to include: 1) Age at time of death, 2) Date of death, and 3) Date of last COVID vaccination.
That data, once compiled, will indicate one of three results:
Result 1. There is no correlation at all between date of last vaccination and date of death, or
Result 2. Recently vaccinated Ohioans enjoy safe and strong protection from the vaccines, or
Result 3. Recently vaccinated Ohioans are dying shortly after getting the vaccines.
Governor DeWine, it is my guess that you believe such an examination of the death records and COVID vaccination records will yield "Result 2."
It is Steve Kirsch's and my belief that such an examination of the death records and COVID vaccination records will most certainly yield "Result 3."
Let's find out who is correct.
Please instruct Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff to conduct this data compilation and make it available to the public for inspection. Or you can have the Ohio Department of Health provide the death records and COVID vaccination records of these deceased Ohioans to me, and I will be glad to perform the data compilation task that will yield either Result 1, Result 2, or Result 3 as described above.
Governor DeWine, Ohioans deserve to know if the COVID vaccines are actually "saving" Ohioans or "killing" Ohioans.
Here is a chance to cement your legacy as the only governor of 50 states that had "the guts" to search for the truth about the vaccines.
You can become a HERO to our country and the world.
You can spread the word by writing to Brooks Sutherland of the Cincinnati Enquirer at bsutherland@enquirer.com or to Julie Washington of the Cleveland Plain Dealer at jwashington@cleveland.com and letting them know of your request of Governor DeWine and that the pandemic is fake.
The average person is bombarded with statistics and "information" about covid, masks and vaccines. No offence but the average person is clueless and knows nothing about infectious disease. That being sad I can't blame them as they trust the tv and internet and social media to get their medical information. This makes them think they are doctors but in reality, they know nothing. Making things worse is many real doctors are stupid or compromised by big pharma money. We need to think about how to fix this situation.
Wow, I have read comments from doctors, pastors and tech people. The thing is - and you are free to disagree. You cannot be forced to be injected with anything against your will. The CDC, FDA etc have no legal authority to -nor does the government to inject you with anything if you object to it Yet most people will just take it. This is very sad.
Sad indeed. I`m watching the jabbed around me with neuro psychiatric symptoms acting crazy and driving erratically general stupidity more than usual. Now the physical injuries are manifesting as well. Myocarditis, aortic bridging, tachycardia, turbo cancer now dead, heart attack died, Blind in one eye, exhaustion and on and on. And they used to shame me for being selfish. Not any more. Sad indeed
Same here. Wondering what life will look like in five years. Ecnomists must surely be studying the impact the mass population decline will have for society.
If the people cower in fear and do not fight back, they have become willingly permanently enslaved. I would rather be dead than enslaved but that's just my opinion. I am not being flippant and wish the best to the people but if the PM says he will hunt down the unvaccinated he has declared war on his citizens and needs to face capital punishment.
That is a tragic story, Rose. I think the poster lived in one of the few free states in the United States where you could resist the shot and still have a job. I can tell you the 2 most populated states in the US, New York and California where almost as bad as Australia and New Zealand.
There was a post about a week ago by someone smarter and more articulate than me. It had to do with DNA and how through a process called reverse transcriptase- allowed covid mrna shots to permanently alter you DNA. If memory serves, he said. If you are an atheist your DNA was given to you by your mom and dad and it's your property. If you are religious, your DNA is sacred and given to you by GOD. In other words, atheist or religious do not take shots that change your DNA ever.
If I remember correctly, someone smarter and more articulate than me has shown that "RT " is the process Drosten dreamed up because Kary Mullis' PCR invention only uses DNA; ergo a RNA derived CV can only be "tested", in Drostenspeak, if the RNA "schwab" is converted into ...DNA and then subject to cycling which brings in the worth of cycle rate thresholds....anything over 25/27 potentially (being kind) renders the "result" a false positive but not to the corrupt PTB.
Fact checkers are desperate to silence any comment which mentions "gene editing" stating that mRNA drugs do not enter cell nuclei; but they never ever mention that the US FDA definition of gene editing specifically includes the specific action of mRNA drugs..... and still does AFAIAA - which allows people to fact check the "FactChekas" very comprehensively.
As a pastor, I have never encountered so much confusion and anger and division amongst the people I preached to. Covid has deeply divided us both medically and spiritually. I have seen long term friendships, and marriages end over things like masks and covid shots. I still cannot wrap my mind around it. I can only conclude that the whole covid operation is evil and nefarious. I will not give medical advice. But I and my family are completely healthy and unvaccinated.
I am so done with covid, pastor. When friends and family members disown you for not taking shots. This has destroyed me emotionally. I never got sick physically but mentally not so well.
Not surprise at all. The divisions and fears are within our minds and the external circumstance just brought it to the light. Personally I used the generated fear of C19 as a catalyst for my spiritual growth. Meaning that I had to examine where love is within me. Fear is an indication love is not recognized for Perfect love cast out fear. Fear veiled the love of God and we allowed it, empowered it. All these calls for forgiveness for all beings, all things.
But did you encourage you church members to get the 📌📌? My pastor told us we could not get any of them because of the connection to fetal tissue lines used to develop them. I only know two people in my entire church who got them. One is a surgeon and one man is in the military. They were refused religious exemptions.
The whole COVID CONSPIRACY is just another Genocide under The Christian Vatican in Rome. Under it is BIG PHARMA, THE U.S. GOVERNMENT, AND THE MSM. Europe's Nazis also worked for it with their "crooked cross" (swastika) and the Communists with their cross: hammer and sickle.
CHRISTIANITY IS PAGAN AND ALWAYS WAS! There is NOTHING Hebraic or Biblical about IT!
The Original Protestants, The Puritans, The Plymouth Pilgrims, and other groups were NOT Christians! John and Abigail Adams along with Paul Revere were Puritans.
WE HAVE BEEN SO LIED TO! It's time for all to "Wakey. . .Wakey!"
I post publicly and freely on MeWe. ETERNAL LIFE BLESSINGS FOR YAHWEH'S SAINTS!
I believe that as a pastor you must let your congregation know not get these injections because they are all connected to abortion. The Bible is clear that we are not to participate in Pagan rituals which the sacrifice of children is a Pagan ritual. So it is not health advice but definitely Biblical advice.
If a church has a 501(c)3 tax designation, they cannot preach anything against the government (narrative). This is fact. The church using a 501(c)3 is yet another rabbit hole to go down to understand it's meaning and ramifications. It's not just about tax money either.
As far as pagan rituals - are you're familiar with the history of Christmas and sun worshipping and, Valentine's Day and Easter worshipping fertlity gods? If not, yet another rabbit hole awaits you. One comment my pastor made response to the celebration of Jesus' birth on Dec 25 (Jesus was mist likely born in Sept. There's a fascinating theory that he was born on Sept 11, 3 AD, according to the way the stars were in the sky as mentioned in the Bible, but I digress). Someone said they will continue to celebrate Christmas because "God knows my heart!". My pastor said "You're right. God knows that despite learning about the pagan roots of our modern holidays, you will continue to deceive yourself and justify your actions that show that worldly things and traditions are more important to you than the truth." These aren't his exactly words, but you get the idea. Someone else said, "Well, that's kinda harsh, pastor!" The pastor responded - "From what I understand, Hell is "kinda" harsh, too.
Pastor at my Baptist church in North Carolina erected a billboard suggesting it’s divine to be Vaccinated. I left the church 6 months ago due to his overwhelming Woke disposition and the last straw supporting jabbed kids. Even Franklin Graham was asking his flock to jab.
My church warned the members about the vaccine. I know of many other churches that did also. I hope you find a good God fearing Church that teaches the Bible. They are out there and now stronger because of the trials they have been through.
On the other hand all of us non-medical professionals urging ppl not to queue up for the jab could be - and have been - accused of practicing medicine w/o a license
JJ it is strange. Catholic Priests and the Vatican were pushing covid shots even though many of the shots contained aborted fetal tissue. I have been very clear to my congregation about this issue but need to be very careful about how I phrase it.
You are correct. But Lifesitenews (a Catholic news site) has been very clear on how horrible these injections are and has exposed the connection to abortion.
What I've seen from the church during The Great Scamdemic of 2020, including the pushing of vaccines by the Pope himself, has ceded, within me, a deep mistrust of religious institutions, even so far as to see the Pope as Satanic.
The churches need to ditch the 501C3 IRS designation. They never needed it to begin with and it makes the churches subservient to the government. Read the books of Jeremiah and Daniel among others for correct responses to rulers.
Know a tree by its fruit. Doesn't matter what kind of tree: even the devil can quote scripture. We must use discretion, as you clearly have. However, if they apologize and admit their error, they were mislead as have we all been at one time or another.
I am a protestant and for his first 6 months I kind of liked the Pope as he was a minimalist and taught about Jesus' teachings. Then when covid came out it seems that Pfizer and Moderna took over and Jesus meant nothing.
Be encouraged though! I know of many many churches that did the right thing and stayed open and guided their people through this trying time. I hope you find a good church that teaches the Bible.
The Holy Spirit is our teacher! 1. John 14:16-26 2. John 15:26 3. John 16:7-15 4. Romans 8:26,27 5. 1 Cointhians 2:9-14 (KJV) only! Please do not listen to what I tell you, organized religion tells you, your (so called preacher tells you), only listen to this book. If you will,, 2 Timothy 2:15 (KJV), GOD will use the Holy Spirit (Who lives inside of the born again believer), to guide you through scripture. Hope this helps.
All of the covid shots in use currently use aborted fetal cell lines somewhere along the testing, development, production process. I read early on that some were being developed using ethically derived cell lines but I haven't heard of any of these being approved yet. I don't even know if they're still under development or have been abandoned.
As far as the catholic church goes, the current shots were approved for use for catholics with this reasoning: the abortion from which these cells were derived occurred a long time ago and that was the sinful act. In the absence of any other option, the church approves their use. Catholics are however supposed to work, as in petition drug companies and governments to discourage/eliminate their use.
I was still shocked by this approval and did not take any shots because I believe this is sinful.
I more recently came across a website, Children of God for Life, that stated that there are over 21,000 drugs that use aborted fetal cell lines and that it is almost impossible to know which companies do and which don't so that's another reason to stay away from drugs. That's almost impossible to do in absolute terms: if you require life saving surgery, are you going to decline the anesthetic because it might be on the list? Nobody ever asks the anesthesiologist what drugs s/he is using! I think that's why the catholic church made their decision.
I started calling a few companies to ask: Proctor & Gamble stated they do not use unethically derived cell lines inhouse or externally in research/development that they fund so I can use my Pepto Bismol in good conscience.
The Vatican was instrumental in financing the Nazis in WW2 and also coordinated the "escape" of many of the ones responsible for the genocide that occurred there, fascilitating their move, under cover, to America and other countries. The Vatican decorations, paintings, statues and building architecture itself, including miles of underground tunnels and rooms are extremely satanic. The Vatican and the Vatican Bank hold many very dark secrets. There's many online articles and YT videos on that subject.
But, on the off chance some anti 'anti-vaxxer' (or, an organized pro-narrative party) decides to make your life very miserable, you will not be able to do a thing to stop it.
If that occurs, you will be so busy dealing with the consequences, you will no longer be able to devote your energy to the resistance.
Thanks for the "heads up." I asked to speak at the 26 Jan FDA meeting, but was not lucky enough to get a slot. I did, however, submit a written package with the results of my recent "Embalmer Blood Clot Survey."
Including the current and former piece of shit presidents, who both pushed the vaccines hard. Unfortunately, lying incompetent judges are part and parcel of the same corrupt system. There has to be some kind of people's court, separate from the trash illegitimate and unlawful government, with the power to try, convict, and hold accountable all these criminals.
Wow, Steve. When you’ve authored more than a thousand evidence-packed articles, I’m going to pay special attention when you say, “this is the most important article I have ever written in my life.”
I want to thank you for permitting me to publish the long version of your op-ed before you submit the short version and wanted to let you know people are finding it incredibly valuable and are planning to use it in their own fights against mandates:
Hi. I’ve collected thousands of Covid-19 vaccine injuries, deaths, and “died suddenly” video footage from security cameras.
I’m sharing everything on my Rumble channel found at VaxGenocide.com
(I’m featured in the Died Suddenly movie credits. I’m Covid BC.)
You won’t find this type of footage anywhere else. I have so many videos to upload… I am exhausted. Lots of really graphic videos of kids passing away so please view with caution.
My goodness. Just on the emotional level, watching all that footage and, at some level, taking responsibility for it, must be a terrible thing. If you're only exhausted rather than suicidal, hats off to you.
If I may ask: How do you vet the footage? Surely we can agree that it is very important to keep false entries out of this kind of portfolio, so it would be great to know exactly how you ascertain that these are at least temporally associated with the jabs.
The number of paid trolls and AI bots on these forums defending the covid shots is increasing on a daily basis. This means something -and I think the evil powers that be are worried they are starting to lose their control over their false narrative. Expect things to escalate because cornered rats can get dangerous.
I have brought up the concept of demonic possession in regard to covid agenda many times. Some agree with me. Most call me a crazy conspiracy theorist.
As an evidence based scientific individual, I tend towards psychopathy as an explanation, but frankly, I think we're both describing the same thing, just using different terms. The point is, while we may differ on the underlying cause, we clearly share a common goal, which is to end this outrageous behaviour which, for want of a better term, has possessed a large part of humanity. So people of Faith, I have your back.
Covid BC, I am familiar with your work, and thank you very much for doing this. I can well imagine that this takes a lot of time and dedication. (Having watched most of your videos I agree, best to proceed with caution, many of them are ghastly.)
Would you consider adding more information to your videos, more information about the source and date of the individual videos? This documentation is vital.
Hopefully not the CCP footage of people falling under Chinese trains, swatting imaginary bees and collapsing in heaps. The Chinese Sinofarm jabs are not mRNA.
Information from China (and Russia) is hard to obtain, but if the Chinese vaccines include a fully formed spike protein, then the outcome would likely be the same or similar. Adjuvants, vectors, protein fragments and contamination also play a role, so sorting it all out is a challenge. I notice that Russia is now using attenuated vaccines (traditional approach) plus a synthetic protein approach. Not sure how widespread their use, or if they've intended to replace Sputnik V, which is also a gene therapy product with a slightly different approach (DNA vs mRNA), but I have my eye out for that data and will report back what I find.
What is the difference between "manly" who wear face diapers, and a dolphin? One is a bottom dwelling mud sucking scum bag low life, the other is a dolphin.
Can't disagree with the stupid part, but some of those people aren't stupid they just trust government. They don't realize the the governments killed at least 200 million of their own citizens in the 20th century. And public "education" is so slanted, it's better described as indoctrination. Little reading, writing and 'rithmetric, much more situational ethics, climate "science" (FUD) politics and EVERYTHING except useful information. I think it's a crime that we are not preparing children for their (hopefully) long life ahead, instead they will have plenty to unlearn when they run into real life, which tends to be unsympathetic to fantasy
Point taken. As long as "public" indoctrination exists we are going downhill. I was a product of American public schooling, but my Dad warned me it was nothing but obedience training. So, I played along buy never bought into it.
Never bought into it either. My son, who is 51, cane to me about 6 months ago and said dad want to apologize to you. I ask why did he want to apologize to me. All my life I have told people that you were crazy for all the things you said about corrupt gov./3 letters corrupt/media/church/etc.. Dad everything you said is true and I"m sorry. I said it's ok, but I am no long an conspiracy guy. He said "WHAT" why is that? I said because all my conspiracy theories have come true!
This "analysis technique" is so apparently flawed! Just try it against ANY most harmless intervention that exhibits similar dynamics as jabbing, and you will get the same circa 0.3 result.
There should be a relation between the Ratio value obtained from the same data set when analysed by method 1 to get R1 (fixed window T= T1-T2 all data points) and method 2, which gives R2 by setting the vaccination date as the time origin but keeping the same T2 end point. I believe the relation is
R2/R1 = 2/3
by the following argument: Consider a particular death date tdi . In method 1 this contributes tdi/T to the ratio taking T1 as 0 for our time measurements. On average the time from vaccination to tdi will be ti = tdi/2 if the vaccination and death are not correlated. On average the time from vaccine to T2 will then be tpi = T -tdi/2. The ratio of method 2 replaces the tdi/T with on average ti/tpi so we find R2 = R1/2(1-R1/2) and for R1 =1/2 (the random death case equally probable across the fixed window) R2 = 1/3. So R2/R1 = 2/3. When the same data are just recalculated as you have done.
Interestingly for the age group 0-20 your data do show R2/R1=0.4/0.6= 2/3. The older groups have R2/R1< 2/3 when the same data are replotted.
Analysis of the ONS data for the UK ap2021 to nov2022 for different age groups and for noncovid deaths shows that the % vaccinated among the dead of the age group is always less than the % vaccinated in the age group, except in the oldest group 70-90 where it was slightly higher. Both these observations are arguments against there being statistically significant numbers of deaths caused by the vaccines.
Your Method is good, your data are good, your data tables are good so good job so far BUT the threshold criterion you use for R to indicate harm is wrong in the context of the data. Consequently, your conclusions are not valid deductions from your data!
In fact, your data actually show the vaccine is not causing harm! Let me explain:
You apply your “Ratio test” in two different ways to the data:
1) a fixed time window is defined T1-T2( eg Jan21 to dec22). All the individual deaths in a data set which occur in that window are selected. Each death date, tdi, splits the window into two parts, before tbi= tdi-T1 and after tai=T2-tdi. The ratio is defined as R=< tbi>/<T2-T1>. Which is 0.5 if there is no “bunching of the deaths” in the window. i.e if there is a constant probability of dying across the whole window, (the death rate is uniform).
2) For the vaxxd alone you make the date of vaccination the start point of the window T1=tvi, but the end point of the window is the same as before T2, so now every death has tbi= tdi – tvi = ti and T2- tvi = tpi so now R is defined as R =< ti>/<tpi>. This statistic is not always 0.5 even when the probability of vaccination and the probability of death are independent (i.e. the no harm from vaccine case). If the all death rate is falling, R can be reduced considerably; if it is rising, R increases above 0.5 for the no harm hypothesis. The UK ONS data (march 2023) for the overall death rates and vaccine rollout show across the period april21 to nov22 the death rate was falling, with small rises due to the covid waves which were maximum at dec2021-jan22. The vaccine rollout rate was not uniform, but for the 18-39 group was almost bell shaped centred at Jul 2021. Using these data to get Pv(t), Pd(t), prob of vaccination , and of death during the period, we can ask: “If the vaccine rates and death rates observed for the 18-39 group were independent what would the R=<ti>/<tpi> value be?” (This is a standard problem using joint probability distributions). A calculation using the ONS data for Pv and Pd gives R=0.370 not 0.500. This is the criterion for whether the vaccine rate is correlated to the death rate. If R< 0.370 then it is possible the vaccine is causing harm, if R>0.370 the vaccine is possibly delaying death.
Your data support the hypothesis that the vaccine is not causing harm since R > 0.400 for the vaccinated in all cases using method 2. All the data you present in your tables indicate when you apply method 1 (fixed window) for all the data the ratio is always R>0.500. Only when you extract the vaccinated and use method 2 do you find all those data give ratios 0.5>R> 0.4 Which actually supports the hypothesis that the vaccine rate and death rate are independent, if the US data is anything like the UK’s data. Your data further support this conclusion:
A comparison of the Method 1 Ratios for the Vaxxd and the unvaxxd in the window jan21 to dec 22 can be made from your data. For each age group above 30 the ratio for the vaxxed is always higher than for the unvaxxed and above 0.5, while the unvaxxed ratio falls below 0.5 but remains above 0.4. This is compatible with the vaccine not killing people but actually saving lives.
The two groups where the ratio for the vaxxd is below the unvaxxd are 0-30 and these are the least reliable results because the number of deaths in these groups in your data set is so small compared to the other age groups.
If I understand your method correctly the ith death record in the data set from time period 0-T where 0=jan 2021, T= jan2023, records the vaccination time tvi and death time tdi giving an interval ti=tdi-tvi and a period tpi= T-tvi . Your ratio statistic, R, is then the ratio of the means <ti>/ <tpi> of the whole data set which is 0.5 if the all causes death rate remains constant between 0-T and if the vaccination rate and the death rate are not correlated. You then calculate R for your data set and find it less than 0.5 and deduce the vaccine rate and the death rate are correlated. You then assume correlation is causation: that is a basic statistical mistake. But that is not my main concern with your method, which is when the death rate is not constant through 0-T , as it was not during the epidemic smaller values of R than 0.5 are consistent with no correlation between the vaccination rate and the death rate. For example the ONS mortality figures for 18-39 yr olds allow us to deduce the all causes death rate from april 2021 to nov 2022. Vaccine rollout data for this age group give the vaccination rate across this period. Using this data we can calculate the expected R value under the assumption of no correlation between them and the value obtained is 0.411, this is because the all cause death rate was falling across this time period except for increase as the covid wave swept through. The vaccination rate is far from uniform during the period in fact it is more like a bell curve centered at june 2021. These combine to lower the R value threshold which applies to non correlation.
A better statistic to test for excess vaccine induced death is to compare the % vaxxd among the noncovid dead and compare that to the % of the group who are vaxxed
If the vaccines were causing harms, would'nt it show in death rates for the "non covid dead" when the ever vaxxd were compared to the never vaxxd. These rates were the same in all the age groups from 18-60 in the period aug 2021 to nov 2022 in the ONS mortality figures (see my plots on substack) suggesting the vaccine did not cause harm. Also they should show in the % vaxxd among the noncovid dead being higher than the %vaxxd in the population. This is never the case in the 18-60 age groups. I have plotted all the ONS data mortality numbers, rates, % vaxxed among the dead from covid, all deaths and noncovid deaths here for reference: https://nickcanning.substack.com/p/analysis-of-the-ons-monthly-covid
"We are now over two years into the vaccination program and not only is nobody publishing the data that would prove or not that the vaccines are safe, but nobody is even asking for the data to be published.
It’s almost as if nobody wants to know the truth. That’s the big take away."
This is genius in its elegant simplicity.
Obviously, the more data points the more robust could be our conclusions. We need to get Dr. Ladapo to do this in Florida, to decrease the chance of confounding.
The only argument could be that the vaccinated deaths occurred in a later time period, on average, versus the unvaccinated, and that some other factor could cause deaths to rise as we move through the 730 day period. An argument could be made that something like “long covid” has an increasing lethality over time? A reach, I know, just playing Devil’s Advocate.
1) No anecdotes about vax success, but MANY about vax injury and death.
2) No anti-vaxxers that convert to vaxxers, but many that have transitioned the other way.
3) This simple 3-input model that shows life shortening consequences of jabs.
A hat trick for the home team!
In process of updating to correct remaining errors (control group is everyone not just vaxxEd)
Please see my post 13march on this thread concerning an error you make in estimating the value of R which indicates the no harm threshold. Are you aware of this?
please use the Contact me link to provide details. thanks.
Most physicians, nurses, government officials, religious clergy all failed us. Maybe at first, they bought the covid lies but we are 3 years deep and these shots are killing and disabling 10x more than they are helping. But rest assured they will push covid boosters and they will become mandatory.
As a pharmacist and microbiologist, I knew there was never a medical need for a covid shot. Yet this mrna injection program was planned way in advance by the DOD -and the global powers have a mission to accomplish. I'm sure you know what it is.
May I ask why you knew there was never a medical need for a "Covid" shot?
I'm not trying to set you up, although there are 3 simple responses for why any human being, no matter what their age, should have never received even one Sh*tShot, ever, for "Covid".
Personally, I'm extremely miffed at the "Frontline Doctors" who didn't state this/these reasons from the very beginning.
Anyway, just curious as to how/why you knew this.
I do not know Rebecca. But this is my take. 99% of covid hospitalizations and deaths could have been prevented with early outpatient treatment with generic oral medicines. But the government prevented this and said the only treatment was mrna shots which do not prevent infection, transmission or mortality.
I treated over 400 patients with covid symptoms and not a single one ended up in the hospital. Ironically, I could not prove they had covid as the covid pcr test in nonspecific to covid and has a false positive rate between 60-90% For those that did not tolerate medicines I would not have objected to conventional vaccines for those at high risk. But Mrna shots are completely different and very dangerous. In the end most so called covid death patients were murdered with the CDC protocol or remdesivir, sedation and high-pressure ventilation. For each "covid" death the federal government would compensate the hospital between 35-to 90 Thousand dollars.
true it appears. but, you might think the geniuses at CDC would be looking into that. the excess death trend seems unassailable. if this was, say Love Canal deaths, EPA would be all over it.
Below is the email/letter that I wrote to Ohio Governor Mike DeWine challenging him to have his Director of Public Health take this "Steve Kirsch Challenge." I referenced Steve's first Substack article on this a couple of days ago. - Tom Haviland
Governor DeWine,
You can become a HERO to our country and the world by taking the steps outlined in Steve Kirsch's Substack article below!
Sir, here is your opportunity to "get on the correct side" of this issue that not only are the COVID-19 "vaccines" ineffective in stopping anyone from catching or transmitting the virus, they are also killing and injuring millions of people around the world.
Please instruct your Director of the Ohio Department of Health, Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff, to provide the death records and COVID vaccination records for all deceased Ohioans for the years 2021 and 2022 to include: 1) Age at time of death, 2) Date of death, and 3) Date of last COVID vaccination.
That data, once compiled, will indicate one of three results:
Result 1. There is no correlation at all between date of last vaccination and date of death, or
Result 2. Recently vaccinated Ohioans enjoy safe and strong protection from the vaccines, or
Result 3. Recently vaccinated Ohioans are dying shortly after getting the vaccines.
Governor DeWine, it is my guess that you believe such an examination of the death records and COVID vaccination records will yield "Result 2."
It is Steve Kirsch's and my belief that such an examination of the death records and COVID vaccination records will most certainly yield "Result 3."
Let's find out who is correct.
Please instruct Dr. Bruce Vanderhoff to conduct this data compilation and make it available to the public for inspection. Or you can have the Ohio Department of Health provide the death records and COVID vaccination records of these deceased Ohioans to me, and I will be glad to perform the data compilation task that will yield either Result 1, Result 2, or Result 3 as described above.
Governor DeWine, Ohioans deserve to know if the COVID vaccines are actually "saving" Ohioans or "killing" Ohioans.
Here is a chance to cement your legacy as the only governor of 50 states that had "the guts" to search for the truth about the vaccines.
You can become a HERO to our country and the world.
Sincerely,
Thomas F. Haviland
3873 Maple Grove Lane
Beavercreek, OH 45440
thomashaviland@sbcglobal.net
Phone: 937-431-0801
Great approach Tom. I have emailed Governor DeWine in support of your letter.
You can spread the word by writing to Brooks Sutherland of the Cincinnati Enquirer at bsutherland@enquirer.com or to Julie Washington of the Cleveland Plain Dealer at jwashington@cleveland.com and letting them know of your request of Governor DeWine and that the pandemic is fake.
Thanks! I just emailed them both with my survey results. I appreciate the tip!
The average person is bombarded with statistics and "information" about covid, masks and vaccines. No offence but the average person is clueless and knows nothing about infectious disease. That being sad I can't blame them as they trust the tv and internet and social media to get their medical information. This makes them think they are doctors but in reality, they know nothing. Making things worse is many real doctors are stupid or compromised by big pharma money. We need to think about how to fix this situation.
Wow, I have read comments from doctors, pastors and tech people. The thing is - and you are free to disagree. You cannot be forced to be injected with anything against your will. The CDC, FDA etc have no legal authority to -nor does the government to inject you with anything if you object to it Yet most people will just take it. This is very sad.
To be fair alot of the vaxxed ppl were threatened by their employers and others were coerced by their families and peers
Sad indeed. I`m watching the jabbed around me with neuro psychiatric symptoms acting crazy and driving erratically general stupidity more than usual. Now the physical injuries are manifesting as well. Myocarditis, aortic bridging, tachycardia, turbo cancer now dead, heart attack died, Blind in one eye, exhaustion and on and on. And they used to shame me for being selfish. Not any more. Sad indeed
Same here. Wondering what life will look like in five years. Ecnomists must surely be studying the impact the mass population decline will have for society.
Concur with neuro aspect. Difficult when interacting with family and close friends.
I used to think I was crazy!
Essentially the same in New Zealand.
The new PM says he will “hunt down” the unvaxxed - sounds very ominous
If the people cower in fear and do not fight back, they have become willingly permanently enslaved. I would rather be dead than enslaved but that's just my opinion. I am not being flippant and wish the best to the people but if the PM says he will hunt down the unvaccinated he has declared war on his citizens and needs to face capital punishment.
"I would rather be dead than enslaved "
Me too. Hence, I will fight to the death if need be.
A few days spent as "Prey" might change his point of view...
Terminate with extreme prejudice.
Darlene, it all sounds 'very ominous' at the moment, doesn't it?
That is a tragic story, Rose. I think the poster lived in one of the few free states in the United States where you could resist the shot and still have a job. I can tell you the 2 most populated states in the US, New York and California where almost as bad as Australia and New Zealand.
You are RIGHT about that, and NYC is about the worst, but on the other hand SF is about tied
Thanks Thomas. Following your lead I have sent a similar request to Premier Danielle Smith in Alberta, Canada.
Good luck, Mark. I have written her several times about various C 19 matters, and have never heard a word back:(
Excellent letter. So clear and concise, even a politician can understand it.
There was a post about a week ago by someone smarter and more articulate than me. It had to do with DNA and how through a process called reverse transcriptase- allowed covid mrna shots to permanently alter you DNA. If memory serves, he said. If you are an atheist your DNA was given to you by your mom and dad and it's your property. If you are religious, your DNA is sacred and given to you by GOD. In other words, atheist or religious do not take shots that change your DNA ever.
If I remember correctly, someone smarter and more articulate than me has shown that "RT " is the process Drosten dreamed up because Kary Mullis' PCR invention only uses DNA; ergo a RNA derived CV can only be "tested", in Drostenspeak, if the RNA "schwab" is converted into ...DNA and then subject to cycling which brings in the worth of cycle rate thresholds....anything over 25/27 potentially (being kind) renders the "result" a false positive but not to the corrupt PTB.
Fact checkers are desperate to silence any comment which mentions "gene editing" stating that mRNA drugs do not enter cell nuclei; but they never ever mention that the US FDA definition of gene editing specifically includes the specific action of mRNA drugs..... and still does AFAIAA - which allows people to fact check the "FactChekas" very comprehensively.
As a pastor, I have never encountered so much confusion and anger and division amongst the people I preached to. Covid has deeply divided us both medically and spiritually. I have seen long term friendships, and marriages end over things like masks and covid shots. I still cannot wrap my mind around it. I can only conclude that the whole covid operation is evil and nefarious. I will not give medical advice. But I and my family are completely healthy and unvaccinated.
I am so done with covid, pastor. When friends and family members disown you for not taking shots. This has destroyed me emotionally. I never got sick physically but mentally not so well.
Same. Sending lots of prayers for comfort.
Not surprise at all. The divisions and fears are within our minds and the external circumstance just brought it to the light. Personally I used the generated fear of C19 as a catalyst for my spiritual growth. Meaning that I had to examine where love is within me. Fear is an indication love is not recognized for Perfect love cast out fear. Fear veiled the love of God and we allowed it, empowered it. All these calls for forgiveness for all beings, all things.
But did you encourage you church members to get the 📌📌? My pastor told us we could not get any of them because of the connection to fetal tissue lines used to develop them. I only know two people in my entire church who got them. One is a surgeon and one man is in the military. They were refused religious exemptions.
NO ONE ON EARTH SHOULD TAKE THEM! NO NOSE-JAB TESTING EITHER!
Good for you John
The whole COVID CONSPIRACY is just another Genocide under The Christian Vatican in Rome. Under it is BIG PHARMA, THE U.S. GOVERNMENT, AND THE MSM. Europe's Nazis also worked for it with their "crooked cross" (swastika) and the Communists with their cross: hammer and sickle.
CHRISTIANITY IS PAGAN AND ALWAYS WAS! There is NOTHING Hebraic or Biblical about IT!
The Original Protestants, The Puritans, The Plymouth Pilgrims, and other groups were NOT Christians! John and Abigail Adams along with Paul Revere were Puritans.
WE HAVE BEEN SO LIED TO! It's time for all to "Wakey. . .Wakey!"
I post publicly and freely on MeWe. ETERNAL LIFE BLESSINGS FOR YAHWEH'S SAINTS!
I believe that as a pastor you must let your congregation know not get these injections because they are all connected to abortion. The Bible is clear that we are not to participate in Pagan rituals which the sacrifice of children is a Pagan ritual. So it is not health advice but definitely Biblical advice.
If a church has a 501(c)3 tax designation, they cannot preach anything against the government (narrative). This is fact. The church using a 501(c)3 is yet another rabbit hole to go down to understand it's meaning and ramifications. It's not just about tax money either.
As far as pagan rituals - are you're familiar with the history of Christmas and sun worshipping and, Valentine's Day and Easter worshipping fertlity gods? If not, yet another rabbit hole awaits you. One comment my pastor made response to the celebration of Jesus' birth on Dec 25 (Jesus was mist likely born in Sept. There's a fascinating theory that he was born on Sept 11, 3 AD, according to the way the stars were in the sky as mentioned in the Bible, but I digress). Someone said they will continue to celebrate Christmas because "God knows my heart!". My pastor said "You're right. God knows that despite learning about the pagan roots of our modern holidays, you will continue to deceive yourself and justify your actions that show that worldly things and traditions are more important to you than the truth." These aren't his exactly words, but you get the idea. Someone else said, "Well, that's kinda harsh, pastor!" The pastor responded - "From what I understand, Hell is "kinda" harsh, too.
Pastor at my Baptist church in North Carolina erected a billboard suggesting it’s divine to be Vaccinated. I left the church 6 months ago due to his overwhelming Woke disposition and the last straw supporting jabbed kids. Even Franklin Graham was asking his flock to jab.
Yes him and his niece are vax injured but silent!
I am sorry. That is terrible.
My church warned the members about the vaccine. I know of many other churches that did also. I hope you find a good God fearing Church that teaches the Bible. They are out there and now stronger because of the trials they have been through.
As a physician I find the position of your pastor not just reprehensible but illegal as he or she was basically practicing medine without a license.
You find it reprehensible when someone warns another human being of possible injury or death?
On the other hand all of us non-medical professionals urging ppl not to queue up for the jab could be - and have been - accused of practicing medicine w/o a license
I will try to post on top about this.
If the average "pro choice" person was forced to witness an actual abortion in real life
things would change. I saw one once and still have nightmares. I am unable to even define what I saw.
JJ it is strange. Catholic Priests and the Vatican were pushing covid shots even though many of the shots contained aborted fetal tissue. I have been very clear to my congregation about this issue but need to be very careful about how I phrase it.
You are correct. But Lifesitenews (a Catholic news site) has been very clear on how horrible these injections are and has exposed the connection to abortion.
What I've seen from the church during The Great Scamdemic of 2020, including the pushing of vaccines by the Pope himself, has ceded, within me, a deep mistrust of religious institutions, even so far as to see the Pope as Satanic.
The churches need to ditch the 501C3 IRS designation. They never needed it to begin with and it makes the churches subservient to the government. Read the books of Jeremiah and Daniel among others for correct responses to rulers.
Know a tree by its fruit. Doesn't matter what kind of tree: even the devil can quote scripture. We must use discretion, as you clearly have. However, if they apologize and admit their error, they were mislead as have we all been at one time or another.
I am a protestant and for his first 6 months I kind of liked the Pope as he was a minimalist and taught about Jesus' teachings. Then when covid came out it seems that Pfizer and Moderna took over and Jesus meant nothing.
The minute I read that this Pope let the CCP be involved in church matters, I knew he was in error.
It is separating the chaff from the wheat.
Be encouraged though! I know of many many churches that did the right thing and stayed open and guided their people through this trying time. I hope you find a good church that teaches the Bible.
The Holy Spirit is our teacher! 1. John 14:16-26 2. John 15:26 3. John 16:7-15 4. Romans 8:26,27 5. 1 Cointhians 2:9-14 (KJV) only! Please do not listen to what I tell you, organized religion tells you, your (so called preacher tells you), only listen to this book. If you will,, 2 Timothy 2:15 (KJV), GOD will use the Holy Spirit (Who lives inside of the born again believer), to guide you through scripture. Hope this helps.
Yes, they are out there.
All of the covid shots in use currently use aborted fetal cell lines somewhere along the testing, development, production process. I read early on that some were being developed using ethically derived cell lines but I haven't heard of any of these being approved yet. I don't even know if they're still under development or have been abandoned.
As far as the catholic church goes, the current shots were approved for use for catholics with this reasoning: the abortion from which these cells were derived occurred a long time ago and that was the sinful act. In the absence of any other option, the church approves their use. Catholics are however supposed to work, as in petition drug companies and governments to discourage/eliminate their use.
I was still shocked by this approval and did not take any shots because I believe this is sinful.
I more recently came across a website, Children of God for Life, that stated that there are over 21,000 drugs that use aborted fetal cell lines and that it is almost impossible to know which companies do and which don't so that's another reason to stay away from drugs. That's almost impossible to do in absolute terms: if you require life saving surgery, are you going to decline the anesthetic because it might be on the list? Nobody ever asks the anesthesiologist what drugs s/he is using! I think that's why the catholic church made their decision.
I started calling a few companies to ask: Proctor & Gamble stated they do not use unethically derived cell lines inhouse or externally in research/development that they fund so I can use my Pepto Bismol in good conscience.
Children of God for Life website is:
https://cogforlife.org/
The Vatican was instrumental in financing the Nazis in WW2 and also coordinated the "escape" of many of the ones responsible for the genocide that occurred there, fascilitating their move, under cover, to America and other countries. The Vatican decorations, paintings, statues and building architecture itself, including miles of underground tunnels and rooms are extremely satanic. The Vatican and the Vatican Bank hold many very dark secrets. There's many online articles and YT videos on that subject.
Even prior to covid the Catholic church involvement and cover up in child molestation was enough to make me not trust them.
Thanks for your efforts, Tom. I was enlisted AF and transitioned to officer after getting my college degree. Best of luck to you.
Thank you for your service.
If you want to edit out your personal info use the three dots below the comments.
Thanks, I did not know that!
Nope. It's no time to remain anonymous. I want the world to know who I am and how to contact me. These jabs are rotten, period.
There is a hill to die on. And this may be the time.
Ready to die, just would like to stay a while longer, but, thats not my call.
I'm sorry I was making a metaphor as it seems he is willing to sacrifice a lot for a noble cause.
True.
There is never a time to die in futility!
Least of all, at a time when every combatant counts.
I don't think he wants to literally die. It just seems he is willing to sacrifice a lot to fight for what he believes in.
'Die' was your word, not mine. We both know it's hyperbolically metaphorical.
I get the principle.
But, on the off chance some anti 'anti-vaxxer' (or, an organized pro-narrative party) decides to make your life very miserable, you will not be able to do a thing to stop it.
If that occurs, you will be so busy dealing with the consequences, you will no longer be able to devote your energy to the resistance.
Choose your battles wisely.
Please reconsider.
Cheers
Thank you for your service.
Thanks for the "heads up." I asked to speak at the 26 Jan FDA meeting, but was not lucky enough to get a slot. I did, however, submit a written package with the results of my recent "Embalmer Blood Clot Survey."
The Twitter embedded video is now over 43 million views, which means in reality at least 70 million may have viewed it.
At LAST! The information on what these demons are up to is getting out!
Let’s hope and pray ☝️☝️☝️ so!!
Including the current and former piece of shit presidents, who both pushed the vaccines hard. Unfortunately, lying incompetent judges are part and parcel of the same corrupt system. There has to be some kind of people's court, separate from the trash illegitimate and unlawful government, with the power to try, convict, and hold accountable all these criminals.
Sorry we are doomed
Yes we are. I have proof!
Maybe not
Yes we are, I have proof!
Wow, Steve. When you’ve authored more than a thousand evidence-packed articles, I’m going to pay special attention when you say, “this is the most important article I have ever written in my life.”
I want to thank you for permitting me to publish the long version of your op-ed before you submit the short version and wanted to let you know people are finding it incredibly valuable and are planning to use it in their own fights against mandates:
• “Letter to the Stanford Daily” (https://margaretannaalice.substack.com/p/letter-to-the-stanford-daily)
It was a joy collaborating with you, and I look forward to seeing the final version in the Stanford Daily.
Hi. I’ve collected thousands of Covid-19 vaccine injuries, deaths, and “died suddenly” video footage from security cameras.
I’m sharing everything on my Rumble channel found at VaxGenocide.com
(I’m featured in the Died Suddenly movie credits. I’m Covid BC.)
You won’t find this type of footage anywhere else. I have so many videos to upload… I am exhausted. Lots of really graphic videos of kids passing away so please view with caution.
Please share this link with everyone you know.
Covid BC ~ THANK YOU! Vaccidents after Fauci's Ouchies leading to Vaccemetaries!
VERY SAD!
My goodness. Just on the emotional level, watching all that footage and, at some level, taking responsibility for it, must be a terrible thing. If you're only exhausted rather than suicidal, hats off to you.
If I may ask: How do you vet the footage? Surely we can agree that it is very important to keep false entries out of this kind of portfolio, so it would be great to know exactly how you ascertain that these are at least temporally associated with the jabs.
The number of paid trolls and AI bots on these forums defending the covid shots is increasing on a daily basis. This means something -and I think the evil powers that be are worried they are starting to lose their control over their false narrative. Expect things to escalate because cornered rats can get dangerous.
Yes, I see them also.
They exist on these pages,
Indwelt by demons, only they can cause men/women to kill millions of people.
I have brought up the concept of demonic possession in regard to covid agenda many times. Some agree with me. Most call me a crazy conspiracy theorist.
I was forever a conspiracy theorist! NOT ANY MORE, Because, all mine came true!
Peter Duke has a better term for us: Coincidence Theorists.
Like that ebear.
As an evidence based scientific individual, I tend towards psychopathy as an explanation, but frankly, I think we're both describing the same thing, just using different terms. The point is, while we may differ on the underlying cause, we clearly share a common goal, which is to end this outrageous behaviour which, for want of a better term, has possessed a large part of humanity. So people of Faith, I have your back.
I was a biologist before I became a pastor. I appreciate your comment.
Kinda strange preacher is mentioned 3 times in Paul's writing and it is never associated with the church!?!?
I had one or two to disagree with me. I like it when we have dialogue. Hate speech is free speech.
If you seen any suspicious comments please use the "report" function.
I have no objection to people requesting open and honest debates about covid shots.
I do object to the posters on this forum that claim that the shots are completely safe and effective and ridicule the non-vaccinated.
Covid BC, I am familiar with your work, and thank you very much for doing this. I can well imagine that this takes a lot of time and dedication. (Having watched most of your videos I agree, best to proceed with caution, many of them are ghastly.)
Would you consider adding more information to your videos, more information about the source and date of the individual videos? This documentation is vital.
Hopefully not the CCP footage of people falling under Chinese trains, swatting imaginary bees and collapsing in heaps. The Chinese Sinofarm jabs are not mRNA.
mRNA means nothing. All the damage being done is caused by Graphene Oxide Nanotechnology, which has been found in every Covid-19 vaccine.
Are you military/doesn't matter. Thank you for your service.
"The Chinese Sinofarm jabs are not mRNA."
Information from China (and Russia) is hard to obtain, but if the Chinese vaccines include a fully formed spike protein, then the outcome would likely be the same or similar. Adjuvants, vectors, protein fragments and contamination also play a role, so sorting it all out is a challenge. I notice that Russia is now using attenuated vaccines (traditional approach) plus a synthetic protein approach. Not sure how widespread their use, or if they've intended to replace Sputnik V, which is also a gene therapy product with a slightly different approach (DNA vs mRNA), but I have my eye out for that data and will report back what I find.
Do have look. The videos are from all over the world.
People write 2000-word diatribes about covid shots. Keep it simple - take it or reject it.
To demonstrate the insanity of all this I watched mma fights last night. I like mma.
Half the idiots in the crowd were still wearing masks. We are so stupid.
MMA fans wearing masks maybe were incentivized to do so. Maybe got a free beer or coke when they entered.
Got to giveun a little credit, they like MMA.
do tricks for food like dolphins...
Good one!
although I bet those dolphins could take out those "manly" men who were face diapers. God bless them...the dolphins I mean.
What is the difference between "manly" who wear face diapers, and a dolphin? One is a bottom dwelling mud sucking scum bag low life, the other is a dolphin.
Can't disagree with the stupid part, but some of those people aren't stupid they just trust government. They don't realize the the governments killed at least 200 million of their own citizens in the 20th century. And public "education" is so slanted, it's better described as indoctrination. Little reading, writing and 'rithmetric, much more situational ethics, climate "science" (FUD) politics and EVERYTHING except useful information. I think it's a crime that we are not preparing children for their (hopefully) long life ahead, instead they will have plenty to unlearn when they run into real life, which tends to be unsympathetic to fantasy
Actually my guess is these ppl are motivated by FEAR & easy to manipulate
Point taken. As long as "public" indoctrination exists we are going downhill. I was a product of American public schooling, but my Dad warned me it was nothing but obedience training. So, I played along buy never bought into it.
Never bought into it either. My son, who is 51, cane to me about 6 months ago and said dad want to apologize to you. I ask why did he want to apologize to me. All my life I have told people that you were crazy for all the things you said about corrupt gov./3 letters corrupt/media/church/etc.. Dad everything you said is true and I"m sorry. I said it's ok, but I am no long an conspiracy guy. He said "WHAT" why is that? I said because all my conspiracy theories have come true!
You are more diplomatic than me, I would have said “thanks! because my theories are correct.” Period.
Should have!
How did you get all the footage? And do you have statistics on the number in 2020, 2021 and 2022?
I went on CDCs page today and couldn't find any mortality stats for 2021 or 2022. Crazy. Thank you for your work!
The gaslighting is almost over. Now the stonewalling begins.
Hmmmm, no response.
It really is a good question.
This "analysis technique" is so apparently flawed! Just try it against ANY most harmless intervention that exhibits similar dynamics as jabbing, and you will get the same circa 0.3 result.
There should be a relation between the Ratio value obtained from the same data set when analysed by method 1 to get R1 (fixed window T= T1-T2 all data points) and method 2, which gives R2 by setting the vaccination date as the time origin but keeping the same T2 end point. I believe the relation is
R2/R1 = 2/3
by the following argument: Consider a particular death date tdi . In method 1 this contributes tdi/T to the ratio taking T1 as 0 for our time measurements. On average the time from vaccination to tdi will be ti = tdi/2 if the vaccination and death are not correlated. On average the time from vaccine to T2 will then be tpi = T -tdi/2. The ratio of method 2 replaces the tdi/T with on average ti/tpi so we find R2 = R1/2(1-R1/2) and for R1 =1/2 (the random death case equally probable across the fixed window) R2 = 1/3. So R2/R1 = 2/3. When the same data are just recalculated as you have done.
Interestingly for the age group 0-20 your data do show R2/R1=0.4/0.6= 2/3. The older groups have R2/R1< 2/3 when the same data are replotted.
Analysis of the ONS data for the UK ap2021 to nov2022 for different age groups and for noncovid deaths shows that the % vaccinated among the dead of the age group is always less than the % vaccinated in the age group, except in the oldest group 70-90 where it was slightly higher. Both these observations are arguments against there being statistically significant numbers of deaths caused by the vaccines.
Your Method is good, your data are good, your data tables are good so good job so far BUT the threshold criterion you use for R to indicate harm is wrong in the context of the data. Consequently, your conclusions are not valid deductions from your data!
In fact, your data actually show the vaccine is not causing harm! Let me explain:
You apply your “Ratio test” in two different ways to the data:
1) a fixed time window is defined T1-T2( eg Jan21 to dec22). All the individual deaths in a data set which occur in that window are selected. Each death date, tdi, splits the window into two parts, before tbi= tdi-T1 and after tai=T2-tdi. The ratio is defined as R=< tbi>/<T2-T1>. Which is 0.5 if there is no “bunching of the deaths” in the window. i.e if there is a constant probability of dying across the whole window, (the death rate is uniform).
2) For the vaxxd alone you make the date of vaccination the start point of the window T1=tvi, but the end point of the window is the same as before T2, so now every death has tbi= tdi – tvi = ti and T2- tvi = tpi so now R is defined as R =< ti>/<tpi>. This statistic is not always 0.5 even when the probability of vaccination and the probability of death are independent (i.e. the no harm from vaccine case). If the all death rate is falling, R can be reduced considerably; if it is rising, R increases above 0.5 for the no harm hypothesis. The UK ONS data (march 2023) for the overall death rates and vaccine rollout show across the period april21 to nov22 the death rate was falling, with small rises due to the covid waves which were maximum at dec2021-jan22. The vaccine rollout rate was not uniform, but for the 18-39 group was almost bell shaped centred at Jul 2021. Using these data to get Pv(t), Pd(t), prob of vaccination , and of death during the period, we can ask: “If the vaccine rates and death rates observed for the 18-39 group were independent what would the R=<ti>/<tpi> value be?” (This is a standard problem using joint probability distributions). A calculation using the ONS data for Pv and Pd gives R=0.370 not 0.500. This is the criterion for whether the vaccine rate is correlated to the death rate. If R< 0.370 then it is possible the vaccine is causing harm, if R>0.370 the vaccine is possibly delaying death.
Your data support the hypothesis that the vaccine is not causing harm since R > 0.400 for the vaccinated in all cases using method 2. All the data you present in your tables indicate when you apply method 1 (fixed window) for all the data the ratio is always R>0.500. Only when you extract the vaccinated and use method 2 do you find all those data give ratios 0.5>R> 0.4 Which actually supports the hypothesis that the vaccine rate and death rate are independent, if the US data is anything like the UK’s data. Your data further support this conclusion:
A comparison of the Method 1 Ratios for the Vaxxd and the unvaxxd in the window jan21 to dec 22 can be made from your data. For each age group above 30 the ratio for the vaxxed is always higher than for the unvaxxed and above 0.5, while the unvaxxed ratio falls below 0.5 but remains above 0.4. This is compatible with the vaccine not killing people but actually saving lives.
The two groups where the ratio for the vaxxd is below the unvaxxd are 0-30 and these are the least reliable results because the number of deaths in these groups in your data set is so small compared to the other age groups.
If I understand your method correctly the ith death record in the data set from time period 0-T where 0=jan 2021, T= jan2023, records the vaccination time tvi and death time tdi giving an interval ti=tdi-tvi and a period tpi= T-tvi . Your ratio statistic, R, is then the ratio of the means <ti>/ <tpi> of the whole data set which is 0.5 if the all causes death rate remains constant between 0-T and if the vaccination rate and the death rate are not correlated. You then calculate R for your data set and find it less than 0.5 and deduce the vaccine rate and the death rate are correlated. You then assume correlation is causation: that is a basic statistical mistake. But that is not my main concern with your method, which is when the death rate is not constant through 0-T , as it was not during the epidemic smaller values of R than 0.5 are consistent with no correlation between the vaccination rate and the death rate. For example the ONS mortality figures for 18-39 yr olds allow us to deduce the all causes death rate from april 2021 to nov 2022. Vaccine rollout data for this age group give the vaccination rate across this period. Using this data we can calculate the expected R value under the assumption of no correlation between them and the value obtained is 0.411, this is because the all cause death rate was falling across this time period except for increase as the covid wave swept through. The vaccination rate is far from uniform during the period in fact it is more like a bell curve centered at june 2021. These combine to lower the R value threshold which applies to non correlation.
A better statistic to test for excess vaccine induced death is to compare the % vaxxd among the noncovid dead and compare that to the % of the group who are vaxxed
If the vaccines were causing harms, would'nt it show in death rates for the "non covid dead" when the ever vaxxd were compared to the never vaxxd. These rates were the same in all the age groups from 18-60 in the period aug 2021 to nov 2022 in the ONS mortality figures (see my plots on substack) suggesting the vaccine did not cause harm. Also they should show in the % vaxxd among the noncovid dead being higher than the %vaxxd in the population. This is never the case in the 18-60 age groups. I have plotted all the ONS data mortality numbers, rates, % vaxxed among the dead from covid, all deaths and noncovid deaths here for reference: https://nickcanning.substack.com/p/analysis-of-the-ons-monthly-covid
"We are now over two years into the vaccination program and not only is nobody publishing the data that would prove or not that the vaccines are safe, but nobody is even asking for the data to be published.
It’s almost as if nobody wants to know the truth. That’s the big take away."
America, ... " ... home of the brave."
The question ❓ is why do they want to hide all the data on this vaXX? Why are they letting people die off?
The reasons are simple.
1. 65+, can't pay out social security or pensions
2.
3.
Take a gues-Fill in #2, #3.
Artcles like this make me sad because they are CAP
He is stinky and is wrong
This guy is bull shit and has a small pp
This artcile sucks and is fake