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David Robson's avatar

A perceptive assessment, and I'm sure your assumption about the lower lethality of mutated covid explains the lower CFR during the spike and later increases in cases in 2022 (orange line much lower than case line). The graph needs a 3rd y-axis for CFR so that you can show the CFR trend which decreases as the virus mutates. You don't need to worry that people will think that the decreasing CFR is due to the vaccines because the earlier trend in late 2020 and early 2021 shows that the vaccines did nothing. But all of this needs to be explained with annotations and arrows pointing to the parts of the graph to which they refer.

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