In your risk/benefit calculation, for the numerator (risk) you subtract the unvaccinated non-COVID death rate from the non-COVID death rate of the 'Second dose, at least 6 months ago' group to estimate incremental non-COVID deaths due to being vaccinated. If you apply that same logic to the othe…
In your risk/benefit calculation, for the numerator (risk) you subtract the unvaccinated non-COVID death rate from the non-COVID death rate of the 'Second dose, at least 6 months ago' group to estimate incremental non-COVID deaths due to being vaccinated. If you apply that same logic to the other vaccine cohorts, you would very frequently see a negative risk calculation. For those vaccinated cohorts, the non-COVID death rate is lower than the unvaccinated group's non-COVID death rate.
Wouldn't a logical implication be that the vaccine had a benefit of reduced non-COVID deaths?
Also, I don't follow the explanation of why only one cohort of the vaccinated were analyzed. To get a view of the risk/benefit of all levels of vaccination I added all the groups together and calculated a risk benefit for "Any level of vaccination" versus "unvaccinated". With that method only the 15-19, and 20-24 age groups had bad risk/benefit ratings. All the other age groups look like they would have benefitted from the vaccine. Of course with more time, the death rate among the vaccinated may increase faster than that of the unvaccinated.
I am no fan of the jabs. And I may have made some errors in my analysis. I would be glad to share my calculations. I'd like to know what am I missing here.
A question about "Interpreting the Data".
In your risk/benefit calculation, for the numerator (risk) you subtract the unvaccinated non-COVID death rate from the non-COVID death rate of the 'Second dose, at least 6 months ago' group to estimate incremental non-COVID deaths due to being vaccinated. If you apply that same logic to the other vaccine cohorts, you would very frequently see a negative risk calculation. For those vaccinated cohorts, the non-COVID death rate is lower than the unvaccinated group's non-COVID death rate.
Wouldn't a logical implication be that the vaccine had a benefit of reduced non-COVID deaths?
Also, I don't follow the explanation of why only one cohort of the vaccinated were analyzed. To get a view of the risk/benefit of all levels of vaccination I added all the groups together and calculated a risk benefit for "Any level of vaccination" versus "unvaccinated". With that method only the 15-19, and 20-24 age groups had bad risk/benefit ratings. All the other age groups look like they would have benefitted from the vaccine. Of course with more time, the death rate among the vaccinated may increase faster than that of the unvaccinated.
I am no fan of the jabs. And I may have made some errors in my analysis. I would be glad to share my calculations. I'd like to know what am I missing here.