My $1M argument that the vaccines killed > saved using cases, CFR, population CFR, no cumulative COVID death knee, etc.

If the COVID vaccines reduced cases and/or the case fatality rate, it is not reflected in the data. The only plausible explanation: the shots didn't work.

Executive summary

I show a short argument that the COVID vaccines killed>saved.

Why is this so hard for people to understand?

If you think I got it wrong and there is a confounder explaining this data, please let us all know in the comments.

The argument

Each of the screenshots links to the X post where you can get the full images and detail.

If there is no population case fatality rate (CFR) or population reduction in cases CAUSED by the vaccine, then there is NO BENEFIT.

#1: The vaccine did NOT reduce the population CFR

If the vaccine worked and reduced EITHER cases and/or the CFR for the elderly cohorts, the population CFR should have dropped during alpha.

Why? If it reduced cases only, the CFR drops because only the young (with lower CFRs) will be getting cases. If it reduced the CFR, the CFR goes down. So either way, when you have a STAGGERED rollout, if the population CFR doesn’t plummet, it doesn’t work.

It didn’t; it remained flat consistent with “the interventions didn’t work.”

We also have the data from the Czech Republic and it shows the same flatline after the shots rolled out. The beauty of the Czech data is that it matches cases with deaths so there is no doubt about what is going on.

Here is the chart for different ages from (my spreadsheet) of the CFR by age group (source).

The CFR didn’t drop in any age group after the shots rolled out. The CFR is very accurate in the Czech Republic because they matched each death with COVID cases on a person basis!

Even more stunning is US vs. Albania population CFR. Albania was lightly vaccinated so we’d expect the US and Albania CFR to diverge with the US dipping low. Never happened. The cumulative CFR exactly matched up the whole time. Either this is the most amazing coincidence in the history of science or the shots don’t work. The result was 100% consistent with no benefit:

The population CFR in Albania and the US exactly tracked each other even though Albania was under vaccinated and should have had significantly higher CFR and lower difference between levels. Either this is the most amazing coincidence in scientific history or the shots didn’t work. Which is more likely?

#2 The vaccine didn’t reduce cases

If the vaccine worked, cases should have plummeted. But Israel did everything right. They had the best wastewater monitoring in the world. Their wastewater shows that cases shot up by over 10X during Delta and Omicron. They had the highest cases in the world. This is wastewater data and it’s a LOG scale. Why did this happen? The vaccine caused 1) original antigenic sin, 2) IgG4 class switching, and 3) t-cell exhaustion which explains the results of the Cleveland Clinic (CC) study and the 9 other studies that confirmed the effect here, here, here, here, here, here, here, here and here that more vaccines —> more likely to get COVID which increases population cases for vaccinated and unvaccinated people. The vaccine didn’t even reduce cases during alpha because 2nd wave (Wuhan) is virtually identical to 3rd wave (alpha) even though the vaccines were rolled out quickly in December 2020.

Also, in the Czech Republic, we can compare 1940 vs. 1950 cases over time. These two cohorts were vaccinated 7 weeks apart. So the 1940 cases should have dropped 7 weeks sooner than the 1950 cases. Whoops! They dropped at the same time!

This shows the shots didn’t reduce cases. There should have been a 7 week difference in cases corresponding to the 7 week lag in vaccinations for the two cohorts.

#3 The shots killed on average 1 person per 1,000 doses which implies an overall 10% mortality increase

So no mortality benefit from the shots since neither went down. Those are the two measurements of benefit. If neither was reduced, there is no mortality benefit. Was there harm? Redert did a superb analysis of 30 EU countries (population 550M combined) and showed a vDFR of over 0.1% minimum. So over 660,000 people were killed in the US in just 2021-22 alone, consistent with Mark Skidmore’s survey paper estimates. The average mortality is about 1% of a population dies in a year, so the vaccines were consistent with a 10% mortality increase.

#4: Autopsies show a similar pattern of harm caused by the vaccine, i.e., we have biological plausibility that the safe vaccines aren’t safe at all. We have NEVER seen such devastation caused by any vaccine ever. This is unprecedented

Autopsy data shows with crystal clarity after 2021, there is a new serial killer in town and he leaves a “telltale calling card” with a unique pattern of unusual damage to multiple organs that nobody has ever seen before.

#5 A likely 10% mortality increase for elderly caused by the vaccine was confirmed by a government investigation

The Norway government looked at 100 deaths and determined that 10% to 36% could well have died due to the vaccine (10% were likely; 26% were possible). This is consistent with Redert’s result.

#6: All-cause excess mortality continued to increase at the same rate after the COVID shots were rolled out.

There was no discontinuity in excess ACM.
A paper published in the BMJ (Mostert) revealed that there was no knee in the cumulative excess mortality curve. In short, it was “as if” nothing we did worked. If there was a net benefit from the COVID vaccine, why is there no “knee” in the curve here?

#7: No discontinuity in the US COVID cumulative mortality after the shots rolled out either (no knee)

Nearly all old people in the US got the shots. ​As of the most recent data, approximately 99.9% of U.S. adults aged 65–74 and 98.1% of those aged 75 and older have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine.

But the vaccines are supposed to reduce death by 10X according to the (very flawed) highly cited Arbel study. So how do you explain there was no knee in the COVID mortality curve after the vaccine rolled out to the elderly in early Jan 2021? The only knee we see is due to less deadly variants.

The COVID death trendline was ONLY broken by a very mild variant. The vaccines should have easily bent the trendline but there were no slope discontinuities despite a rapid rollout to the vulnerable. This is consistent with a vaccine that doesn’t work.

#8: Mortality rate analysis of period vs. baseline

If we do a mortality analysis by week where we cumulate deaths and number of man week and calculate death rates (deaths per person week) of each 5 year aged cohort during baseline vs. the whole period, we find that the final unvaxxed to vaxxed mortality ratio is smaller than the baseline mortality ratio (measured during low COVID) which means you were better off being unvaxxed. Here’s a link to verify this yourself from the source data and a link to the spreadsheet that created this summary which shows the vaccines increased net mortality:

Ratio of baseline (u/v) to final (u/v) in the colored column (I forgot to update the heading). Numbers >1 mean the intervention (vaccination) caused excess deaths.

#9: The US ACM data shows the excess mortality of the protected groups didn’t drop after the shots were rolled out.

See the gap vs baseline years? The gap didn’t close after the shots were rolled out.

Can all these 9 points be explained away?

Are there any confounders (with supporting data) that explain why we are not seeing a CFR or infection benefit that we were promised?

Are there any errors in Redert’s “gold standard” paper which shows a vaccine Dose Fatality Rate (vDFR) that is > 0.1% which means 660,000 Americans were killed by the COVID shots? Governments hate his methodology because it isn’t subject to manipulation.

Here’s ChatGPT’s take on Redert’s paper:

Full analysis here.

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Summary

My argument is brain dead simple:

1. There was no population CFR or infection reduction —> no COVID benefit from the COVID shots.

2. Big EU data (30 countries 550M people) shows vaccines highly likely killed at least 1 per 1,000 injected or 660,000 Americans and the autopsy data, VAERS data, Norway investigation, Skidmore paper, and Rasmussen Reports survey data are all consistent.

If you think I got it wrong, and that there was a vaccine benefit and that there are confounders that explain the data above, please let me know in the comments.

I’m interested in the truth.