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Don't see how about 3000 unvaxxed deaths is 1.6 million person-years and about 16000 deaths is only 1.2 million person-years. I was trying to embrace the concept of a person-year, and then noticed the numbers don't appear to be a linear function. I'd like to see the equation for that one. MORE deaths gives you LESS person years. Hum. Kinda need some definitions here. What the h3ll is a person-year?

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the numbers in the spreadsheet are PRO FORMA.

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ChatGPT actually gives a very good explanation of this:

Person-years is a measurement used in epidemiology and demographic studies to estimate the number of people at risk for a certain event (like death or disease) over a specific period. It helps to account for both the number of people in a population and the length of time they are at risk.

To calculate deaths per 100,000 person-years, follow these steps:

1. Determine the study population: Identify the group of people you are studying, such as a specific age group or people with a particular health condition.

2. Calculate the total person-time at risk: This is the sum of the time that each person in the study population is at risk for the event of interest (in this case, death). Person-time at risk is usually measured in person-years.

To calculate person-time at risk, multiply the number of people in the population by the number of years they are observed. If individuals have different follow-up times, you would sum the individual follow-up times for each person in the population.

For example, suppose you are studying a group of 1,000 people over a 5-year period. The total person-time at risk would be:

1,000 people x 5 years = 5,000 person-years

3. Count the number of deaths: Determine the total number of deaths in the study population during the observation period.

4. Calculate the death rate: Divide the number of deaths by the total person-time at risk.

For example, suppose there were 50 deaths during the 5-year period. The death rate would be:

50 deaths / 5,000 person-years = 0.01

5. Calculate the death rate per 100,000 person-years: Multiply the death rate by 100,000.

0.01 x 100,000 = 1,000 deaths per 100,000 person-years

So, in this example, the death rate would be 1,000 deaths per 100,000 person-years.

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4. Calculate the death rate: Divide the number of deaths by the total person-time at risk.

So, does that mean an unvaxxed person would be at zero risk since they didn't take the vax? Which leads to division by zero, which makes an infinite number of unvaxxed deaths. Oy Vey. Please tell AI that I don't get it. 🤖

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Say there are 1000 unvaxxed people and we are counting deaths over a time interval of 1 year. Say 50 of them die during that year.

The person-time at risk = 1000 people times 1 year = 1000 person-years

The number of deaths is 50

So the death rate is 50 per 1000 person-years or 0.5 per 100000 person-years

That one's on me - if I got that wrong we both have to go back to AI school!

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That did NOT help me. 🤣🤣🤣

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You did good here! Thanks.

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Good AI use.

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May 11, 2023
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I think they use person-years so that they can vary the time interval when calculating mortality rate. Steve's spreadsheet looks at monthly mortality rate. Others might want to calculate a daily, weekly, quarterly or annual rate etc.

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Average (expected) remaining years of life= person years

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So kinda like car mileage in a junk yard? So if you called the unvaxxed Toyotas, the vaxxed Fords (Fix Or Repair Daily), The Toyotas are lasting until 300,000 miles, while the Fords are dying at 150,000 miles. 1,600,000years/3000people=533years/person. 1,200,000/16000=75years/person. I don't get it. But somehow with their magic and strange, obscure definitions, they have made it look like more unvaxxed people per 100,000 died than the groups that had more deaths. "Age-standardized mortality rate/100,000 person years". Looks to me like a way to obscure and invert the numbers of deaths, not make it more clear. If it were cars, it would be years/car. So what the h3ll would 533years/person or 75years/person even mean?

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I like the way you think, I've been a mechanic for 50 years we need more Ralph Naders , if the seat belts don't work there are recalls , if the brakes don't work there are recalls, if electric cars start fires there's a recall , if you're steering doesn't work there are recalls, the FDA CDC WHO need to be recalled and fined and jailed.

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Naw...permanent depopulation of these medical terrorist agencies is the ticket.

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